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CC 04-28-2020 #1 Fiscal Update and Preview_Staff PresentationCC 04-28-20 #1 COVID-19 Fiscal Impacts Update Presentation CC 4/28/20, #1 1 April 28, 2020 Fiscal Year 2019-20 Update and Fiscal Year 2020-21 Preview Agenda Fiscal Year 2019-20 Update Fiscal Year 2020-21 Preview Budget Cycle Budget Calendar 1 2 CC 4/28/20, #1 2 Fiscal Year 2019-20 Update Important Considerations FY 2019-20 •COVID-19 Impacts •Sharp Revenue Drops •Recession and •Uncertainty •General Fund Focus 3 4 CC 4/28/20, #1 3 Important Considerations FY 2019/20 •Estimates, not actuals •Soft hiring freeze •Departments asked to reduce costs in special projects •All Capital Improvement Projects remain funded COVID-19 Impact FY 2019-20 General Fund (in millions) Category FY19/20 Year-End Projection FY19/20 COVID-19 Impacts FY19/20 Year-End COVID-19 Impacts Mitigated FY19-20 Beginning Unassigned Fund Balance $28M Revenues $93.4M $82.1M $92.1M Expenditures $108.3M $108.3M $102.6M Impact to Fund Balance -$14.9M -$26.2M -$10.5M FY19-20 Estimated Ending Unassigned Fund Balance $13.1M $1.8M $17.5M 5 6 CC 4/28/20, #1 4 7 General Fund Forecast - COVID-19 Impacts $93.4  $82.1 $92.1  $108.3 $108.3 $102.6  $13.1  $1.8  $17.5  $0.0 $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 FY20 Year‐End  Projection FY20 Year‐End COVID‐19 Impacts FY20 Year End COVID‐19 Impacts Mitigated Revenue Expenditure Estimated Ending Unassigned Fund Balance Revenue Category Description Amount FY 19/20 Year End Revenue Estimates Pre-COVID 19 $93.4 Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT)COVID 19 related loss in revenue -$3.7 Charges for Services -$4.0 Miscellaneous Revenue -$2.5 Fines and Forfeitures, and Other Financing Sources -$1.0 COVID-19 Revenue Impacts Total -$11.3 Transfer In COVID 19 related transfer in from Capital Reserve to offset Revenue Losses $10.0 FY19/20 Year End Revenue Estimates COVID-19 Impact Mitigated $ 92.1 Changes to General Fund Revenue Estimates 7 8 CC 4/28/20, #1 5 Expenditure Category Description Amount Salary and Benefits Based on Historic Budget Savings - $1.42 Materials -$2.10 Contracts -$1.80 Contingencies -$1.00 Other Financing Uses -$0.60 FY 20 Year-End Expenditure Projection $108.3 Special Projects COVID 19-related expenditure reduction -$5.50 Salary and Benefits COVID 19-related expenditure reduction thru furloughs -$0.18 FY20 Year End Expenditure Estimates Post-COVID 19 $ 102.6 Changes to General Fund Expenditure Estimates 10 Employee Type 3/17-4/10 Actuals 4/11-5/1 Estimate 5/2-5/30 Estimate 5/31-6/30 Estimate Grand Total Estimate EE Hours Costs EE Hours Costs Hours Costs Hours Costs Hours Costs Full Time 88 9,166 $340,978 78 3,412 $129,389 4,550 $172,518 5,233 $198,396 22,361 $841,281 Part Time 77 3,311 $67,134 0 0 $0 0 $0 0 $0 3,311 $67,134 Total Employees 165 12,477 $408,112 78 3,412 $129,389 4,550 $172,518 5,233 $198,396 25,672 $908,415 Labor Cost Impacts 9 10 CC 4/28/20, #1 6 Fiscal 20-21 Preview 12 FY 2020-21 Themes BUILDING ON A STRONG FISCAL STRATEGY POTENTIAL SERVICE LEVEL IMPACTS BALANCED EXPENDITURE REDUCTIONS 11 12 CC 4/28/20, #1 7 Budget Balancing Strategies- Revenue RevenuesStrategy Description Potential Impact Revenues Employer-Based business license tax Part of Council work program to tax businesses based on number of employees, voter approval needed $10M ¼ cent Sales Tax Voter approval required, would bring sales tax from 9% to 9.25% for the City $3-4M Transient Occupancy Tax Voter Approval required, could bring rate from 12% TO 14% $2M Potential Strategy Description Potential Impact Expenditures Section 115 Trust Smoothing mechanism for years when CalPERS does not meet discount rate projections or assumption changes. Can also be used to offset pension costs in any given year. Fund is currently at $12M Salary and benefit savings through attrition Keep non-essential positions unfilled as they become vacant. $160,000 on average/ vacancy No new positions Cost containment strategy $0 Reduction in capital outlays and special projects Cost containment strategy Up to $1.5 million Reduction in contingencies by half Cost containment strategy Up to $850,000 Budget Balancing Strategies- Expenditures 13 14 CC 4/28/20, #1 8 COVID-19 Impact FY 2020-21 (in millions) Category FY20/21 Proposed Budget FY20/21 COVID-19 Impacts FY20/21 Proposed COVID-19 Impacts Mitigated FY20/21 Estimated Beginning Unassigned Fund Balance $17.5M Revenues $88.8M $79.5M $79.5M Expenditures $89.5M $89.5M $79.8M Impact to Fund Balance -$0.7M -$10.0M -$0.3M FY20-21 Estimated Ending Unassigned Fund Balance $16.8M $7.5M $17.2M $88.8 $79.5 $79.5 $89.5 $89.5 $79.8 $16.8 $7.5 $17.2 $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0 $80.0 $90.0 $100.0 FY20/21 Proposed Budget FY20/21 COVID-19 Budget Impacts FY20/21 Proposed Budget Impacts Mitigated General Fund Proposed Budget – COVID-19 Impacts Revenue Expenditure Fund Balance 16 15 16 CC 4/28/20, #1 9 17 FY20/21 Balancing Strategy VACANCY SAVINGS CUTS ACROSS VARIOUS EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES EARMARKED RESERVES UNTOUCHED COVID Fiscal Update 17 18 CC 4/28/20, #1 10 Budget Cycle Proposed Budget May Final Budget June/July First Quarter November Mid-Year February/March Third Quarter May COVID Fiscal Update Next Steps ●FY 2019-20 ●Third Quarter Report to Council May 19, 2020 ●FY 20-21 ●Proposed Budget Printed May 1, 2020 ●Proposed Budget Hearing May 19, 2020 ●CIP Prioritization June 2, 2020 ●Final Budget Hearing June 16, 2020 19 20 CC 4/28/20, #1 11 Questions? 21