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14 BMR housing City of Cupertino 10300 Torre Avenue Cupertino, CA 95014 (408) 777-3308 FAX (408) 777-3333 CITY OF CUPEI\IINO Community Developmerit Department Housing Services Summary Agenda Item No. ~ Agenda Date: Februarv 27, 2006 Subject: Consider adopting a resolution updating the Nexus Study and new mitigation fees for the Cupertino Below Market Rate (BMR) Housing program and direct staff to draft an inelusionary housing ordinance, Resolution No. 06- oy!: Recommendation: The Cupertino Housing Commission recommends Council adopt new updated Nexus Study and adopt new mitigation fees in April, when adopting the user fees, for the Cupertino BMR progr<:JTl and direct staff to draft an Affordable Housing Ordinance per attached Resolution 06-Qjl. Background: Below Market Rate Program: Since June 1992, the city of Cupertino has operated a Below Market Rate program. During the 1993 General Plan update, the city approved an inelusionary housing program requiring 10% of all new developments to be affordable. This percentage was increased to 15% in October 2001 when the City Council approved the new Housing Element of the General Plan. Approximately 192 of the city's 323 affordable units have been created through the BMR program. The residential component of the BMR program has two parts, rental and ownership. Currently, the program requires 50% of the required rental units to be affordable to very-low income, 50% of median income, and the other 50% affordable to low income, 80% of median income, households. In the case of ownership units, 50% must be affordable to median income households with the other 50% being affordable to moderate-income, 120% of median, households. Linkage Fee Component: A linkage fee was created in 1992 to offset the housing needs created by the development of office and industrial development. Revenue generated through this program is used to support the development of affordable housing for families and individuals working in IY-{ Consider adopting updated Nexus Study and new mitigation fees for the Cupertino Below Market Rate (BMR) Housing program and direct staff to draft an inclusionary housing ordinance. January 17,2006 Page 2 Cupertino. For example, these funds have been used to assist in the development of the Cupertino Community Services (CCS) Vista Village project, the purchase of surplus CaITrans property on Cleo Avenue and the purchase of a four-plex by CCS on Greenwood Court. In addition, a small percentage of the fund is used for administration of the Below Market Rate program by CCS. Currently, the fee is set at $2.25 a square foot and is assessed against office and industrial development only. When establishing this component of the housing program in 1991, the City Council opted to exelude hotels and retail development from the fee. Discussion: Nexus Study: A nexus study was prepared in 1992 to demonstrate the linkage between the non-residential development and the demand for affordable housing and to provide a legal basis for the fee. Since this study was prepared more than ten years ago, the City made it a goal in the new General Plan Housing Element to update the nexus analyses. Keyser Marston Associates (KMA) was retained to complete this task. The updated nexus analysis addresses office, retail and hotel development. The purpose of a nexus analysis is to document the linkages among the construction of workplace buildings (such as office buildings, retail stores and hotels), the employees that work in them, employees households, and the housing demands of these households. Because the employees in the office building, hotels and commercial developments represent many different income levels by virtue of compensation level and household size, their housing demands will cover a range of affordability levels. The nexus analysis quantifies the households in various housing affordability categories and the cost of creating housing for these households. The entire nexus analysis is attached for review and is organized by Keyser Marston into five sections as follows: · Section I: Summary of the nexus concept and key issues surrounding nexus analyses for jobs and housing. · Section II: An overview of the historical and projected growth of jobs and housing in the City. · Section III: An analysis of jobs and housing relationships associated with prototypical buildings. · Section IV: A summary of the cost of developing housing units affordable to households at the various income levels and a calculation of the total housing nexus cost, or maximum fee level. /L{~;:L Consider adopting updated Nexus Study and new mitigation fees for the Cupertino Below Market Rate (BMR) Housing program and direct staff to draft an inclusionary housing ordinance. January 17,2006 Page 3 · Section V: Background and information to assist in evaluating appropriate fee levels for Cupertino. · Appendices: Provide additional support information and more documentation on data sources and analysis assumptions. Industry Input: Staff and Keyser Marston met with Christine Giusiana, Executive Director of the Cupertino Chamber of Commerce, and explained in depth the nexus analysis. The Chamber, Valko management, the Home Builders Association of Northern California and Sobrato Development were distributed a copy of the draft study and informed of the Cupertino Housing Commission meeting schedule for discussion of this item. Housing Commission Discussion and Recommendation: One member of the Cupertino Chamber of Commerce, Mark McKenna with Stevens Creek Quarry, appeared at the April 14, 2005 Housing Commission meeting to voice displeasure with the program in general and felt that it would discourage development of housing, office and retail development. Staff explained that the program had been in place for more than ten years with minimal effect on office and housing development. Additionally, staff explained that the purpose of the study was to reevaluate the office/ industrial fee, the residential in-lieu fee and consider whether commercial (retail) and hotel development should be assessed a fee. Mr. McKenna stated that he had a strong opposition to raising any fees or creating fees. The Housing Commission reviewed the Nexus Study over the course of one year and made their final recommendations to the City Council at their April 14, 2005 Housing Commission meeting. The Housing Commission recommends the following: · Retail and hotel should be assessed a fee at the same rate as the office/industrial development. · The new fee for retail, office/industrial and hotel shall be $4.75 per square foot. Compared to other fee programs in California, Cupertino's current fee is at the lower end of the spectrum and the proposed adjustment would place it nearer the mid portion of the spectrum (please see Table V-4 of the attached Nexus Study). · Redevelopment Project Areas shall be exempt from the fees for retail, office/ industrial and hotel. However, they would still be obligated to produce affordable units under the City's inelusionary housing (BMR) program. · To encourage mixed use development along the major corridors, projects containing 2/3 residential and 1/3 retail/ office, would be exempt from paying the impact fees for Il{ - 3 Consider adopting updated Nexus Study and new mitigation fees for the Cupertino Below Market Rate (BMR) Housing program and direct staff to draft an inclusionary housing ordinance. January 17,2006 Page 4 the commercial. The project would still be required to produce affordable housing units as part of the BMR program. Affordable Housing Ordinance: Keyser Marston and Associates and staff also recommend that the City Council direct staff to draft and Affordable Housing Program Ordinance detailing the Housing Impact Fee program. By placing the information in the form of an ordinance, the information will be more accessible to the general public and more detailed than what is currently in the General Plan Housing Element. PREPARED BY: Vera Gil, Senior Planner APPROVED FOR SUBMITTAL: Dovid ~p, City Mo=ge< Steve Piasecki, Director of Community Development Attachments: Resolution No. 06- Draft Jobs Housing Nexus Update I y ---'-I RESOLUTION NO. 06-045 DRAFT A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF CUPERTINO ADOPTING AN UPDATED JOBS HOUSING NEXUS STUDY AND NEW MITIGATION FEES AND DIRECTING STAFF TO DRAFf AN AFFORDABLE HOUSING PROGRAM ORDINANCE WHEREAS, the City has conducted a Jobs Housing Nexus Study in 1992; and WHEREAS, the Housing Element of the 2005 General Plan states that an updated Jobs Housing Nexus Study shall be conducted; and WHEREAS, the Keyser Marston and Associated conducted a "Jobs Housing Nexus Update" pursuant to the State Mitigation Fee Act (Government Code Section 66000, et seq.); and WHEREAS, the "Jobs Housing Nexus Update" has found that there is a nexus between new retail, hotel and office/industrial development, the creation of jobs and the demand for very- low, low, median and moderate income housing for the employees; and WHEREAS, a fee will can legally be assessed on said development; and WHEREAS, the fee will be used solely to increase and improve the supply of housing affordable to very-low, low, median and moderate income employees; NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the City Council of the City of Cupertino hereby approves the aforementioned "Jobs Housing Nexus Update" and directs staff to discuss and/or amend the impact fee at the City Council meeting in which the fee schedule would be adopted. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the following uses shall be exempt !Tom the impact fee, but still required to provide Below Market Rate Housing as part of a residential development: projects in a redevelopment project area and mixed use projects providing two thirds residential and one third retail/office. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the City Council directs staff to prepare an Affordable Housing Program Ordinance detailing the housing impact fees. PASSED AND ADOPTED at a regular meeting of the City Council of the City of Cupertino this 27th day of February 2006 by the following vote: Vote Members of the Citv Council AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTAIN: ATTEST: APPROVED: City Clerk Mayor, City of Cupertino Il(-~ -4 DRAFT Jobs Housing Nexus Update Prepared for: City of Cupertino Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. October 2004 ( If -(p TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary Introduction I The Nexus Concept and Major Issues II. Macro Economic Jobs Housing Analysis III Micro Economic Jobs Housing Analysis IV. Affordability Gaps and Total Linkage Cost V. Materials to Assist in Fee Setting Appendices Appendix A: ,Tables Appendix B: Suppiemental Nexus Model Documentation List of Tables Table 11-1 Table 11-2 Table 11-3 Table 11-4 Table 111-1 Table 111-1A Table 111-2 Table 111-3 Table 111-4 Table IV-1 Table IV-2 Table IV-3 Table IV-4 Table IV-5 Table V-I Table V-2 Table V-3 Table V-4 Job Growth, 1990-2000 Residential Permitting Activity (1990-2003) and Affordable Unit Production Historical Relationship: Employment Growlh, Residential Unit Demand Projection: Employment Growth, Residential Unit Demand Net New Employees and Occupation Distribution by Building Type Estimate of Qualifying Households by Income Level Worker Households by Affordability Level Worker Households by Affordability Levei After Commute Adjustment Housing Demand Nexus Factors Per Square Foot of Building Area Residential Prototype - Rental Housing Residential Prototype - Ownership Housing Affordable Rents Supportable Housing Prices Total Housing Nexus Cost Office/High Tech Prototypes - Total Development Costs Hotel Prototypes - Total Development Costs Retail Prototypes - Total Development Costs Other ,lobs Housing Linkage Fee Programs Page 5 13 27 39 49 {l(-J Appendix Table 1 Appendix Table 2 Appendix Table 3 Appendix Table 4 Appendix Table 5 Appendix Table 6 Appendix Table 7 Appendix Table 8 Income Definitions by Household Size Occupations Included in the Analysis by Land Use 2002 National Hotel Worker Distribution by Occupation Average Annual Compensation, 2003 - Hotel Worker Occupations 2002 National Office Worker Distribution By Occupation Average Annual Compensation, 2003 - Office Worker Occupations 2002 National Retail Worker Distribution by Occupation Average Annual Compensation, 2003 - Retail/Entertainment Worker Occupations { l(~r EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report is an economic nexus analysis; it demonstrates the relationships among construction of new buildings, employees, households and affordable housing demand The report has been prepared by Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. for the City of Cupertino to assist in updating and revising its linkage program to mitigate lhe impacts of non-residential deveiopment on affordable housing demand. The report is a "nexus" analysis 10 meet the legal requirements for linking new construction of workspace buildings with an obligation for affordable housing. The City of Cupertino first established its Housing Mitigation program in 1992. The program established a fee for new office and industrial development. This report covers new office space, new hotels, and new retail/entertainment development should the City wish to expand the program. This analysis also covers four income categories or tiers per a directive from' the City. The tiers are Very Low Income, which is under 50% Area Median Income (AMI), Low Income or 50% to 80% AMI, Moderate Income or 80% to 120% AMI, and Workforce Income or 120% to 150% AMI, all of which face affordability obstacles in Cupertino policymakers may design the program to include the upper tiers, if they so choose. A review of past employment growth and housing production demonstrates that housing production has not kept pace with the demands assoclaled with employmenl growth and new worker households, even before affordability is taken into account Nor is there evidence that housing production, and particularly affordable housing production, will be able to meet the demand generated by new worker households in the future. The nexus analysis concludes with coefficients expressing the number of housing units by affordability level that are linked to each square foot of building area, by building lype (office/high tech, retail and hotel/other lodging). When these housing demand coefficients are multiplied by the affordability gap for each income category, the totai housing nexus cost is determined, as follows: 11413006\001.003.10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, ¡nc la~~q Total Housing Nexus Cost (Per Square Foot Building Area) Very-Low Low Moderate Workforce Building Type Income income Income Income Total Office/High Tech $4.71 $5.10 $8.84 $1.22 $19.87 Retail $20.66 $3.34 $2.08 $0.15 $26.23 Hotel $16.61 $1.92 $1.19 $009 $19.80 These costs express the total linkage or nexus cost for each of the three building types. These total nexus costs represent the legal ceiling for potential fees. Total nexus costs are not recommended fee levels; they represent only the maximums established by this analysis, below which fees or other requirements may be set. Fee Setting Approaches . The report provides information to assist in selecting fee levels for the update program. Several alternative approaches are described with examples as follows: · Set the fees as a percent of the nexus cost - such as 25%. Office al 25% of the nexus cost of $19.87 is $4..96, etc. · Evaluate fees in the context of total development costs. If office development costs $265 to $365 per square foot In Cupertino, then a fee that adds 2% would be in the range of $5.30 to $7.30 per square foot. · Review fee levels in housing linkage programs elsewhere. grouped by higher fee jurisdictions at over $9 per square foot, moderale fee jurisdictions in the $4 to $9 range and the low fee group A number of Silicon Valley jurisdictions are now in the moderate and higher fee groups. · Set all commercial fees al the same level or set each fee independently, based on policy considerations and not on a specific formula. As part of the update program, the City may wish to consider other revisions such as minimum size thresholds, specific use exemplions (such as child care centers) or geographic area special treatment (such as redevelopment areas, etc.). Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 11 11413006\001-003,1O/15/2004.0RAFT ILl -to INTRODUCTION The following report presents the findings of an analysis of the relationship between commercial development and housing demand in the City of Cupertino. The report has been prepared by Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. for the City of Cupertino, pursuant to a contract to prepare a nexus analysis and assist in updating and revising a linkage fee.program that mitigates the impacts of non-residential development on affordable housing demand. Background The City of Cupertino first established a linkage fee in 1992 10 "acknowledge housing needs created by the development of office and industrial projects and provide nominal fees to support the development of affordable housing for families and individuals who work in Cupertino but live elsewhere.'" The fee currenlly is set at $2.25 per square foot and applies to office and industrial developments oniy; the City decided against establishing a fee for retail development or hotel development. The fee program was supported by a nexus study prepared in 1991 that demonstrated the linkage between non-residential development and the demand for affordable housing. Keyser Marston Associates (KMA) was retained by the City to update the nexus analysis based on current market conditions. The updated nexus analysis addresses office, retail and hotel developments. Purpose The purpose of the nexus analysis is to document the linkages among the construction of workplace buildings (such as office buildings, retail stores and hotels), the employees that work in them, employee households, and the housing demands of these households. Since workers in all types of buildings represent a range of income levels, by virtue of workers' compensation levels and size of the household, their housing demands cover a range of affordability levels. The analysis quantifies the number of households in various housing afford ability categories. The analysis also quantifies the cost to deliver housing units affordable to the households at various affordability levels, which we refer to as the cost of mitigation Analyses of this type are called linkage or nexus analyses. 1 "Housing Mitigation Procedural Manual:' City of Cupertino, November 18. 2002 f<eyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 1 IL{~I ( 11413006\001.003.10/15/2004. DRAFT Process Prior to initiating work on the analyses, KMA met with a City staff group to determine the parameters of the analysis For purposes of analysis, it was aweed that the following types of workplace buildings would be analyzed: · Office/high tech · Retail and entertainment · Hotel and other lodging The household income or affordability categories to be analyzed were agreed to include: · Very low income (under 50% of median income) · Low income (50% to 80% of median income) Moderate (80% to 120% of median income) · Workforce (120% to 150% of median income) The City may wish to consider a program that eliminates some of these building types or income levels. The goal has been to conduct the analysis for a broad range of options Report Organization The report is organized into five sections as follows: · Section I - presents a summary of the linkage or nexus concept and some of the key issues surrounding nexus analyses for jobs and housing. Section II - is an overview of the historical and projected growth of jobs and housing in the City. · Section III - is an analysis of jobs and housing relationships associated with individual prototype buildings. It is a "micro economic" analysis that concludes with a determination of the number of households at each income level associated with each type of building. · Section IV - summarizes the cost of delivering housing units affordable to households at the various income levels thai are the subject of the analysis. It concludes with the calculation of the maximum allowable fee level. · Section V _ provides information to assist in evaluating appropriate fee levels for Cupertino. f<eyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 2 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT I L(-I.L · Appendices - provide additional support information and more documentation on data sources and analysis assumptions. Data Sources and Qualifications The analyses in this report have been prepared using the best and most recent data available. Local data was used wherever possible. Other sources such as the 2000 US Census and the California Employment Development Department were used extensively. While we believe all sources utilized are sufficiently accurate for the purposes of the analysis, we cannot guarantee their accuracy. Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. assumes no liability for information from these other sources. 11413006\001-003.10/15/2004. DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 3 I ? (q~ ..J [This page left blank intentionally.] Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 4 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, I~:r(t.{ SECTION I: THE NEXUS CONCEPT AND MAJOR ISSUES Introduction This section outlines the nexus concept and some of the key issues surrounding linking new office, retail/entertainment and hotel/motel development to the demand for new residential unitse The nexus analysis and discussion focus on the relationships among development, growth, employment, income and demand for housinge The analysis yields a causal connection between new construction of office/industrial, retail/entertainment and hotel/motel buildings and the need for additional affordable housing, a connection that is quanlified both in terms of number of units and in terms of subsidy assistance needs to make units affordable. The Legal Basis and Context The first housing linkage programs were adopted in the cities of San Francisco and Boston in the mid-1980's. To support the linkage, the City of San Francisco commissioned a short analysis to show the relationships, or what might now be characterized as an early version of a nexus analysis. Since that time there have been several court cases and California statutes that affect what local jurisdictions must demonstrate when imposing impact fees on development projects. The most important U.S. Supreme Court cases are Nollan v. California Coastal Commission and Dolan v. City of Tigard (Oregon)e The rulings on these cases, and others, help clarify what governments must find in the way of the nature of the reiationship between the problem to be mitigated and the action contributing 10 the problem Following the Nollan decision in 1987, the California legislature enacted AS 1600 which requires local agencies proposing an impact'fee on a development project to identify the purpose of the fee, the use of the fee, and to determine that there is a reasonable relationship between the fee's use and the development project on which the fee is imposede The local agency must also insure that there is a reasonable relationship between the fee amount and the cost of mitigating the problem that the fee addresses. Studies by local governments designed to fulfill the requirements of AS 1600 are often referred to as AB 1600 or "nexus" studies. One cûurt case that involved housing linkage fees was Commercia! Builders of Northern California v. City of Sacramento. The commercial builders of Sacramento sued the City following the City's adoption of a housing linkage feee Both the US District Court and the Ninth Circuit of Appeals upheld the City of Sacramento and rejected the builders' petition. The U .Se Supreme Court denied a petition to hear the case, letting stand the lower court's opinione The authors of this nexus study were the authors of the Sacramento study. rLl ~ ( .> 11413 006\OOle003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associales, rllC. Page 5 The Nexus Methodology An overview of the basic nexus concept and methodology is helpful to understanding the discussion and concepts presented in this section. This overview consists of a quick "walk through" of the major steps of the analysis. The nexus analysis links new commercial buildings (or other workplaces) with new workers in the City; these workers demand additional housing in proximity to the jobs, a portion of which needs to be affordable to the workers in lower income households. The methodology used in this analysis is a "micro" analysis, which examines individual buildings. The micro nexus readily lends itself to quantification that serves as a basis for quantifying the nexus cost, or basis for the fee amount. To illustrate the micro nexus, very simply, we can walk through the major calculations of a building. We begin by assuming a prototypical 1 00,000 sq.ft. building and then make the calculations as follows: · We estimate the total number of employees working in the building based on average employment density experience. · We use occupation and income information for typical job types in the building to calculate how many of those jobs pay compensation at lower and middle income levels. · We know from the Census that most of these lower income employees are members of households where more than one person is employed; we use various factors to calcuiate the number of households represented and how multiple earners produce the household income. · Combining our findings from above, we conclude how many of the lower and middle income households (divided into several subsets by income level) are associated with the building and divide by 100,000 square feet to arrive at coefficients of housing units per square foot of building area. · In the last step, we multiply the number of households per square foot by the costs of delivering housing units affordable to these income groups. The factors and relalionships utilized in the analysis refiect long-term average conditions. Short- term conditions, such as a' recession or a vigorous boom period, are not an appropriate basis for estimating impacts over the life of the building. The Relationship Between Job Growth and Population Growth The social issue driving this analysis is growth in mid to lower income households New population growth in most U.S. regions occurs primarily as a result of job growth. Over the long Il{ r-( & Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. Page 6 11413.006\001-003,1011512004, DRAFT term, the vast majority of growth in the State of California and its sub-regions is job driven. The arrival of new population creates "secondary" demand for jobs in retail outlets and services that follow. Growth in the greater Bay Area and in Cupertino is predominantly job driven. Most people coming to the region would not come if they could not expect to find a job. People born in the local area would not stay without jobs This is the long-term pattern. In the short-term, economic cycles and other factors can result in population growth without jobs to support the growth. If an economic region in the U.S does not maintain job growth, there is an out-migration to regions where job growth is occurring. Many cilies in the Midwest during the 70's and 80's are examples. The Relationship Between Construction and Job Growth If population growth, especially lower and middle income population, is predominantly job driven in the greater Bay Area. the question arises as to the source or "cause" of employment growth itself. Simplistically we can say that employment growth does not have "one cause". Many factors underlie the reasons for growth in employment in a given region; these factors are complex, interrelated, and often associated with forces at the national or even international level. One of the factors is the delivery of new workspace buildings. The nexus argument does not make the case that the construction of new buildings is solely responsible for growth. However, especially in the Bay Area, new construction is uniquely important, first, as one of a number of parallel factors contributing to growth, and second, as a unique and essential condition precedent to growth As to the first, construction itself encourages growth. When the state economy is growing, the most rapidly growing areas in the state are those where new construction is vigorous as a vital industry. In regions such as the Bay Area where mulliple forces of growth exist, the political and regulatory environment join forces with the development induslry to attract growth by providing new work spaces, particularly those of a speculalive nature. The development industry frequently serves as a proactive force inducing growth to occur or be attracted to specific geographic areas or locations. Second, workplace buildings bear a special relationship to growth, different from other parallel causes, in thai buildings are a condition precedent to growth. Job growth does not occur in modern service economies without buildings to house new workers. Unlike other factors that are responsible for growth, buildings play the additional unique role Ihat growth cannot occur without them Conversely, it is well established that the inability to construct new workplace buildings will constrain or even halt job growth. /l{ ~{'7 11413.006\001-003 10/15/2004. DRAFf Keyser Marston Associales, Inc Page 7 Addressing the Housing Needs of a New Population vs. the Existing Population The City of Cupertino's Consolidated Plan 2003-2005 and other reports have clearly documented that the housing needs of the existing lower income households are not being met. This existing housing shortage, especially at the lowest income levels, is manifested In numerous ways such as payment of far more than the percentage of income for housing set forth in federal and state guidelines, overcrowding and other factors which are extensively documented by the Census and City reports This nexus study does not address the housing needs of the existing population. Rather, the sludy focuses exclusively on documenting and quantifying the housing needs of new households where an employee works in a new workplace building, such as an office or industrial building This analysis finds that new housing affordable to lower and middle income households is not being added to the supply in sufficient quantity to meet the needs of new employee households associated with new buildings. If this were not the case and significant numbers of units were being added to the supply to accommodate all income groups, or if residential units in Cupertino were experiencing significant vacancy levels, particularly in units affordable to lower and middle income households, then the need for new units would be questionable. Substitution Factor Any given new building in Cupertino may be occupied partly, or even perhaps totally, by employees relocating from elsewhere in Cupertino or the Bay Area. Buildings are often leased entirely to firms relocating from other buildings in the same jurisdiction. However, when a firm relocates to a new building from elsewhere in the region, there is a space in an existing building that is vacaled and released to another firm That building in turn may be filled by some combination of newcomers to the area and existing residents Somewhere in the chain there are jobs new to the region The net effect is that new buildings bring in new employees, although not necessarily inside of the new buildings themselves Indirect Employment and Multipliers The Micro Economic Nexus Analysis, which examines prototype buildings, addresses direct "inside" employment only. In the case of the office building, for example, direct employmenl covers the various managerial, professional and clerical people that work in the building; it does not include the janitorial workers, the window washers, the security guards, the delivery services, the landscape maintenance workers, and the many others that are associated with the normal functioning of an office building These indirect employees tend to be the many service workers at the lower end of the pay scale. 1'10 good data sources were located that deal with indire~t employees in various type buildings. If one thinks about who the lowest income workers are, one can observe that lower income workers include a whole host of service workers who do not work in any type of building as regular employees but whose jobs are associated with such structures. { l( -( r Keyser Marston Associates. Inc. Page 8 11413.006\001.003. 10/15/2004, DRAFT In other words, any analysis that ties lower income housing to the number of workers inside buildings will continue to understate the demand. Thus, confining the analysis to the direct employees does not address all the lower and middle income workers associated with each land use (or type of building) and significantly understates the impacts. If the concept of indirect employees were introduced into the analysis, one could take the analysis further and deal with the question of multipliers. Multipliers refer to lhe concept that the income generated by certain types of jobs recycles through the economy resulting in additional jobs. For purposes of producing a conservative nexus amount, this study omits such multiplier effects. It should also be noted that the analysis excludes all consideration of construction employment. Special Adjustments in Cupertino Analysis There are several special adjustments in the analysis specific to Cupertino and the time at which the analysis has been prepared. Changes in Labor Force Participation In the 1960's through the 1980's there were significant increases in labor force participation, primarily among women. As a result, a portion of new workers were reentering the labor force and already had local housing, thus reducing demand for housing associated with job growth. In the 1990's, however, labor force participation rates have slowed to the point lhey are nearly stabilized. As such, an adjustment for increase in labor force participation is no longer warranted in a nexus analysis. Discount for Changing Industries It is general practice in the preparation of a nexus analysis to examine the major sectors of the local economy and determine if there are long term lrends in employment suggesting either decline or restructuring. In the case of long-term decline of one or more industries or sectors, it is appropriale to recognize that all new jobs may not be net new jobs_ In some regions there may be changes occurring due to, for example, the decline in federal aerospace and defense spending. In San Francisco, by way of another example, there has been major long-term economic decline in the industrial land use activily sectors, as evidenced by the decline of the Port and its related activities During the 1980's in lhat city, for every job gained in an office building, there was 0.6 of a job lost in the industrial sector. Short-term upheavals such as the closing of a military base or single large manufacturing plant may also warrant an adjustment in the analysis. In Cupertino, the analysis of employment growth during the 1990's decade found employment increases in most industries, with the exception of a slight decline in manufacturing {4--/9 11413006\001-003,10/15/2004, DRAFT I<eyser Marston Associates, Inc, Page 9 An adjustment to recognize declining industries is important in a nexus analysis because new jobs added in office, retail/entertainment and other type spaces are, to some extent, replacement of jobs lost in other categories If an underlying premise of a jobs housing nexus is labor force mobility - i.e., workers are attracted to areas where jobs are made available, in part through the delivery of work spaces, then it must also be recognized that loss of jobs means workers either leave the area or become employed in another activity. A discount adjustment is used to recognize these changes within the local economy. Other Cupertino Affordable Housing Programs The City of Cupertino is committed to creating new opportunities for affordable housing as well as preserving the existing affordable housing stock. The City was one of the first to implement a jobs-housing nexus fee, and also implemented a Below Market Rate Housing Program (BMR program). The City's Consolidated Plan 2003-2005 demonstrates the City's commitment to housing. The housing nexus fee is but one of many programs to assist lower and middle income households and increase the supply of affordable housing in the area A summary of the City's existing housing initiatives and programs are listed below. Consolidated Plan The Consolidated Plan is a comprehensive planning document that identifies the City's overall needs for affordable housing as well as presents strategies to meet those needs. The City just recently took responsibility for the Consolidated Plan from Santa Clara County, as the City now qualifies as a COBG entitlement jurisdiction. Cupertino's goals, as articulaled in the Consolidated Plan, include expanding the supply of housing, addressing the housing needs of a diverse population, enhancing residential neighborhoods, and improving services for special needs households. The Plan identifies the housing nexus fee as a key component to addressing the housing needs of the diversity of income levels in Cupertino. Fair Housing Study The jurisdictions that make up Santa Clara County commissioned a recently completed study examining the delivery of fair housing services in the County The report, Fair Housing in Santa Clara County: An Assessment of Cûndítions and prograrns, 2000-2002, indicates that fair housing conditions are generally good throughout the County. A primary problem identified in the sludy is the lack of affordable housing; the housing nexus fee works to improve the affordability of housing in Cupertino Below Market Rate Housing Program The City of Cupertino's BMR program requires that 15% of all housing units constructed be set aside for moderate or low income families. Projects with fewer than 10 units are allowed to l'i~ 2..0 I<.eyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 10 11413006\001-003. 10/15/2004, ORAFT pay an in-lieu fee instead. If the developer is constructing "for-sale" housing, half of the BMR units must serve median income families (80%-100% of area median income) and haif must serve moderate income (100%-120% of median) households. If the units being constructed are rental units, then 40% of the BMR units must be affordable to low income households (50%-80% of median) and 60% to very-low income households «50% of median). The units must remain affordable for 99 years'> The BMR program has resulted in 300 units of affordable housing since its inception. Mortgage Credit Certificate (MCC) Program The City of Cupertino participates in the Mortgage Credit Certificate Program, which provides a tax credit to first-time homebuyers for the purchase of single-family homes, townhomes and condominiums in Santa Clara County. Funding The City also takes advantage of funding programs available to municipal jurisdictions, such as CDBG and Housing Set-Aside funds, to assist in the financing of affordable housing units. These City controlled funds can be used to leverage additional monies in partnership with non- profit housing providers. As this summary shows, the housing nexus fee is merely one piece of a larger strategy that works to pull resources together in a coordinated effort in order to increase the supply of affordable housing Qualifiers to the Analysis The analysis presented in this report has been based on readily available information. The 1990 and 2000 U.S. Census were frequently utilized. The California Employment Development Department and the U.S. Department of Labor were principal sources. Local data was taken into account whenever available. It should be recognized that any analysis of this nature, no matter how in-depth, conlains a great many numbers and judgments relating to them. It will always be possible to take issue with a specific number. We do not believe, however, that adjusting one, or several, individual numbers would fundamentally alter the conclusions of the analysis. 2 Note that the Cily is currently updating ils BMR program and these requirements may change /y--2[ 11413.006\001·003.10/15/2004.0RAFT !<eyser Mars/on Associates, Inc Page 11 [This page left intentionally blank.] {L(~ .2-.L. Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 12 11413006\001-003,10/15/2004, DRAFT SECTION II: CITY-WIDE JOBS HOUSING ANALYSIS This section provides an overview of the relationships that underlie the jobs housing linkage in Cupertino. In particular, the history of building construction, employment growth, and affordable housing production are reviewed. The overall relationship between construction and employment growth is analyzed to establish the nexus. The history of housing production, particularly affordable housing production, compared with the demand generated by new workers is also examined, In addition to historical data, this section contains a projection of jobs and dwelling units, as indicated by local and statewide planning agencies, such as the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) It must be emphasized, however, that the nexus relationships as established in this analysis are not contingent upon a specific projected level of employment growth being realized, The relationships linking construction, employment, and affordable housing are critical to the nexus, but the specific projected levels of growth are not. If employment growth occurs more slowly than projected, conslruction and housing demand will also be less than projected, In addition, we emphasize that the quantification of the maximum nexus fee does not rely on the city-wide analysis; instead, it merely demonstrates the relationship that justifies levying a jobs-housing nexus fee. In the micro-economic analysis, we quantify linkages on a per square foot basis and they are not based on projections from ABAG or any other source (Section III), Employment History and Trends Employment data is collected primarily by the California Employment Development Department (EDO) and also by the U.S, Department of Commerce. ABAG utilizes both these sources to develop total figures for the decade and mid decade and prepares projections for approximately 20 years in the future. ABAG is the most widely used data source by local planning agencies in the Bay Area. According to ABAG, employment growth in Cupertino during the 1990's decade registered a net increase of 6,070 total jobs. While job growth was slow between 1990 and 1995 with just 170 new jobs, a total of 5,900 jobs were gained between 1995 and 2000 This is in part due to the recovery from the economic recession of the early 1990's as well as the high-tech boom in Silicon Valley and the San Francisco Bay Area. Between 1990 and 2000, ABAG's estimates for jobs in Cupertino are: 1l.{-L3 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 13 Year Total Jobs 1 1990 1995 2000 39,260 39,430 45,330 1. City of Cuperlino Sphere of Influence (See Table 1!~1 footnote.) In addition to total job growth, it is also necessary to examine job growth by industry, as total employment figures obscure the dynamics and shifts that have occurred within individual sectors of the Cupertino economy. ABAG data for 1990 and 2000 was used to examine employment change across industries in Cupertino. KMA examined the following specific industries at a citywide level: · Manufacturing; · Retail; · Service; and · Other jobs (construction, transportation, communications, utilities; finance, insurance, real estate; and government). Employees in these industries are occupants of the building types subject 10 this analysis - office/high-tech, retail/entertainment, and hotel. Retail/entertainment buildings basically add jobs in the retail category; holels in the service category, and as described below, office high- tech jobs in the manufacturing, service, and "other" categories. According to ABAG, jobs in the service industry grew by 61 % during the 1990's decade. Following the service industry, retail and "other" jobs regislered a growth of 14% and 0.3%, respectively. During the same period, manufacturing jobs decreased by 1%. This information is presented in Table 11-1 found at the end of this section. Characteristics of Cupertino Employees and Their Households This section examines several key characteristics of Cupertino employees and their households, particulariy those that are relevant to the jobs-affordable housing linkage. Thase characteristics include: · The number of workers per worker household on average; · Income characteristics: and · Commute patterns {L{ <2.L{ Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 14 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT Each of these factors impacts how many new workers in Cupertino buildings will seek housing within the City. These characteristics become key inputs in the micro economic analysis of the linkage between workspace buildings and affordable housing demand. Workers per Worker Household The workers per household characteristic provides the link between the number of employees and the number of households associated with the employees, recognizing that most households today have more than one worker. The number of workers per household in a given geographic area is a function of household size, labor force participation rate and employment availability. Historically, Ihe national labor force participation rate rose steadily for three decades since the early 1960's as more and more women entered the labor force. The rate appears to have leveled off in the 1990's. Nexus studies prepared in the late 1980's and early 1990's often made an adjustment for increases in labor force participation to recognize lhat some employment growth already was living locally and had housing. As noted earlier, we no longer malŒ such an adjustment. For lhe nexus analysis, the characterislic of most direct interest is the number of workers per worker household. Worker households are defined as those households with a wage or salary income, as reported in the 2000 U.S. Census. In other words, worker households are distinguished from total households in that the universe of worker households does not include elderly or other households in which members are retired or do not work for other reasons. Full-time student households and unemployed households on public assistance are also excluded from worker households. According to the 2000 US Census, the number of workers per worker household in the City of Cupertino was157. In Santa Clara County, the average was 1.72 workers per worker household. Compared to the 1990 U.S. Census, the workers per worker household ratio declined in both the city and the county. This trend probably reflects smaller average household size, particularly more single person households. Single person households are both a result of demographic trends and the strong economy, which enabled more single people to live alone. In this analysis, we use the county-wide figure to reflect the fact that most of Cupertino's workforce commutes from outside of the city and therefore are more likely to reflect the demographics of the County as a whole. Wages and Salaries of Cupertino Workers and Household Income The average wage or salary of Cupertino workers and the income of households formed by the 1.72 workers determines the household's ability to afford housing. The California Il{ ~ 2-) 11413006\001.003.10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associales, !nc Page 15 Employment Development Department reports information on average wages and salaries paid to Santa Clara County workers, by occupalion type. A summary of the occupations associated with each building was developed from the 2002 National Industry-Specific Occupational Employment Estimates, produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which cross references occupations by industry. Appendix Tables 3,5, and 7 presents summaries for each building type. The following is a summary table of average salary levels for major occupation groups by building type. A detailed summary of wages and salaries for occupations in each building type is provided in Appendix Tables 4, 6, and 8. Compensation by Occupation for Building Type (Santa Clara County) Building I'Li?Q Maior Occupation Groups % of Employment Average Annual Income Office Office and Administrative Support Business and Financial Operations Management Occupations Computer and Mathematical Science Occupations 35% 10% 9% 8% $37,800 $73,000 $115,700 $80,700 RetaillEntertain men t/Resta u rant Sales Food Preparation and Serving Office and Administrative Support 34% 30% 11% $28,700 $19,400 $32,500 Hotel Building and Grounds (incl. Housekeeping) Food Preparation and Serving Office and Adminislrative Support 30% 29% '17% $20,600 $19,500 $28,900 Sources: California Employment Development Department. 2002 Occupational Employment Statistics Survey, Wages 3rt! Qumter 2003, Santa Clara County. Household Income When workers in these occupations form households, their income, either alone or in combination with other workers, produces the household income. In addition, of course,there may be children and/or other household members who are not employed. According to the California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), the annual median (4 -LG Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. Page 16 11413006\00'1-003,10/15/2004, DRAFT income of a four-person household in Santa Clara County for the year 2004 is $105,500. This analysis focuses on four classifications of household income: · Very Low-Income -less than 50% of Median Income · Low-Income - 50%-80% of Median Income · Moderate-Income - 80%-120% of Median Income · "Workforce" - 120%-150% of Median Income The income classifications for two, three and four person households in Santa Clara County for 2004 appear in the table below. More complete income data is found in Appendix 1. Two Person HH 2004 50% of Median Income 80% of Median Income Median Income 120% of Median Income 150% of Median Income $42,450 $67,900 $84,400 $101.300 $126.600 Three Person HH 50% of Median Income 80% of Median Income Median Income 120% of Median Income 150% of Median Income $47,750 $76,400 $94,950 $113,950 $142,425 Four Person HH 50% of Median Income 80% of Median Income Median Income 120% of Median Income 150% of Median Income $53,050 $84,900 $105,500 $126,600 $158,250 Source; Cafífornia Department of Housing and Communily Development, using data from the U_ S, Department of Housing and Urban Development. The above income levels are the levels set and utilized by HUD and the State for most housing programs. It{ -27 11413.006\001-003.10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 17 Commute Relationships and Trends This section provides a brief summary of commute trends and relationships. The major relationship of interest in a nexus analysis is the share of Cupertino jobs held by Cupertino residenls. The major source of information regarding commute relationships is the U.S. Census. Accordingly, in 2000 there were 4.476 Cupertino residents who aiso worked in Cupertino. For the same year, ABAG reports there were a total of 45,330 jobs. From this, we estimate that Cupertino residents held 99% of the total jobs in Cupertino. It is important to recognize that the above relationship does not necessarily represent the demand for housing in Cupertino. Taken to the extreme, one can hypothesize a city with very few workers living in it because there is very little housing (for example, Emeryville pre-1990) or because the housing is very expensive. It should be noted that even if housing were available and affordable, it is unlikely that 100% of people would live and work in the same city. Secondly, the choice of where one lives depends on many additional factors (schools, style of housing, types of amenities, local taxes, and services, etc.) as well as where one works. The commute relationship as utilized in a nexus analysis (Section III) is largely a policy choice influenced by past trends and policy objectives. The 9.9% finding is already a reflection of housing market conditions and affordability constraints. With no intervention or increase in the supply of housing affordable to workers, the percentage may decrease further. Some cities view the percentage share as a policy target that reflects lhe share of new demand that the city would like to accommodate locally. Absent a directive, the existing commute relationship is utilized in the analysis. Housing Al the beginning of this section, we examined employment and determined from ABAG historical employment data that there were 6,070 jobs gained over lhe decade ending in 2000. This section provides a brief summary of selected characteristics of the housing market that affecl the ability of new worker families to find housing in Cupertino This section also examines growth in housing units in Cupertino to meet the demand of new worker households Housing Production According to the 2000 Census, Cupertino had 18,682 housing units, a 16% increase in dwelling units from the 1990 Census. According to the Cupertino Housing Element, 2,014 new units were built during the 1990s decade. According to building permit data collected by the Construction Industry Research Board, annual building activity greatly varied over this period. The high year was 1996 when 592 new units were permitted and the low year was 1993 when (\{-2J>' Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 18 11413.006\001-003, 10115/2004, DRAFT only 15 new units were permitted On average, 195 units were permitted annually during this period. For more information on residenlialunit construction in Cupertino during the 1990 decade see Table 11-2 As noted earlier, during this same time frame, ABAG estimates that 6,070 new jobs were created in Cupertino. With approximately 1.72 workers per worker household, 6,070 new jobs can be equaled to 3,530 households demanding housing somewhere within commuting distance to a job in Cupertino. Since Cupertino added 2,074 net new units over the period we can say that of the total new units in demand, the city accommodated approximately 59% of them. Other ways of expressing the relationship are indicated below and in Table 11-3. 1990-1999 Increase in Jobs (from Table 11-1) Increase in Worker Households (New Units in Demand) @ 1.72 Residential Construction in Cupertino Relationship of New Housing Units to New Worker Households Shortfall for 1: 1 ratio 6,070 3,529 2,074 units 0.59:1 (1,455 units) In an evaluation such as the one above, it is important to note that housing demand generated by new employment is not equivalent to total housing demand. Each communily experiences demand for its housing by people who work in other jurisdictions as well. Finally, there is a share of total demand attributable to non-working households. Every time a household leaves the labor market, such as upon retirement, if that household remains in the same housing unit. that unit is removed from the pool of units for working households, thus resulting in demand for a new unit even though there is no employment growth. Housing Production by Affordability Level Based on data compiled by the City, there were 300 affordable units produced through the city's Below Market Rate housing program. Assuming these units were built since 1990, this represents approximately 11 % of new dwelling units permitted since 1990, with the remaining new dwelling units available at market rate prices See Table 11-2 for more information on housing production by affordabilily level Affordability of Housing Supply Despite the recent downturn in the economy, the demand for housing opportunities throughout the State continues to be strong and sales prices continue to rise while apartment rents have been flat or declining in recent years, as lower mortgage rates have enabled many renters to purchase homes Like other Bay Area cities, Cupertino underwent significant economic growth in the late 1990's fueled by population and job growth throughout the entire region. (I..{~L1 11413006\001.003,10/15/2004, DRAFT I<eyser Marston Associates, !nc Page 1 g The City's Housing Element shows that this growth has resulted in increased housing prices with many lower income households paying more than 30% of their income on housing. Silicon Valley and the greater Bay Area prevail in national surveys as among the most expensive housing markets in the country. According to the Real Estate Report, a service that tracks home sales, the median home price in Cupertino in 2003 and 2004 hovered around $800,000.3 In terms of rental rates, prices have fallen since a peak in 2000, although they remain high. In 2003, rents for Cupertino apartments averaged about $1,500 a month, down from a high of $2,t60 in 20004 The longer-term average rent, since 1996, is $1,700 In summary, market rate housing is out of reach for many households and housing production over the last decade has not kept up with demand. This shortage in supply coupled with huge growth of the high-technology fields in the region has consequently resulted in dramatic increased housing costs for both for-sale and rental units While the downturn in the economy has taken some pressure off of the rental market, rents are still out of reach for many households The housing market continues to thrive despite the downturn, with strong growth in prices. While there is speculation that an increase in interest rates may cool the for-sale housing market, current prices are so expensive that any drop in the market is unlikely to have a significant effect on middle-income households' ability to purchase a home This review of housing conditions and production only serves to briefly summarize the situation and to demonstrate that housing costs are increasing at a rapid pace and that production has not kept pace with demand, particularly at the lower income levels. Other materials prepared by the City and other organizations further documenl housing conditions in Cupertino and Silicon Valley. Future Projections The jobs housing nexus relationship in support of requiring new workspaces to contribute to new housing is based on the assumption that current trends and relationships in Cupertino will continue. In this context, projections of employment and households are provided in this section The methodology for calculating the impact does not, however, rely on any specific set of projections for employment or housing growth (See Section 111.) J 12 month moving average for Cupertino median sales price, ,January 2003 - May 2004 from the Real Estate Report Available at hllp:/Jrereport.comlscc .4 RealFacls, February 2004. I,,<~J() f<eyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 20 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT Employment Projections ABAG provides a projection series of employment for the entire Bay Area region. The most recenl available is Projections 2003 Employment projections for Cupertino are estimated as follows: Year Total Jobs 2000 2010 Total Increase 45,330 51.120 5,790 The ABAG projection for this time period envisions job growth at a slower pace than occurred during the 1990s (13% growth over the current decade versus 15% growth over the previous decade) Jobs and Housing Projections Relationship The ABAG projections for new jobs can be translaled into new worker households using the estimate of workers per worker household (1.72) discussed previously. Dividing 5,790 by 1.72, we estimate that between 2000 and 2010, the new jobs in Cupertino will generate demand for approximately 3,350 new housing units (see Table 11-4). The ABAG projections for new households in Cupertino estimate that between 2000 and 2010, 1,500 new households will locate in Cupertino presumably in new housing units. If these projections hold true, Cupertino will have produced just 0.45 housing unils for each new worker household. There is a shortfall of over 1,800 housing units. Again, these figures are without consideration for affordability. The production of affordable units relative to demand is an even greater problem. Despite the efforts of the City, there is little to suggest that production of affordable units in the future will in any way be able to keep pace with demand. The affordability structure of demand associated with job growth is the focus of Section III of this report. {L{~JI 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. Page 21 TABLE 11-1 ,OB GROWTH, 1990 - 2000 JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT Total Jobs City of Cupertino Sphere of Influence Job 1990' 2000' Growth % Chanç¡e Agriculture & Mining 290 270 (20) -7% Manufacturing Jobs' 18,920 18,680 (240) -1% Retail Jobs 7,770 8,820 1,050 14% Service Jobs 8.610 13,880 5,270 61% Other Jobs' 3,670 3,680 10 0.3% Total/Average 39,260 45,330 6,070 15% , ABAG Employment Estimates for 1990, (Projections 2002) ABAG Employment Estimates for 2000. (Projeclions 2003) Includes high technology jobs !ncludes construction, transportation, communications, utilities, office (finance. insurance, real estate. and government). and government Note: The Cupertino Sphere of Influence (SOl) includes the annexed Rancho Riconada area In 2000, lIlere were 420 jobs located within the SOl but outside of the jurisdictional boundary. ABAG Projeclions 2003 does not include the level of detail necessary to compile the data in lhis lable by jurisdictional boundary Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, fnc Filename: 11413 006\macro analysis; Job Growth; 10/15/2004; hgr (L{ - 3 J.... TABLE 11·2 RESIDENTIAL PERMITTING ACTIVITY AND AFFORDABLE UNIT PRODUCTION' JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT NET INCREASE IN HOUSING UNITS 1990-2003' Year Total 1990 384 1991 106 1992 19 1993 15 1994 60 1995 94 1996 592 1997 355 1998 283 1999 139 2000 165 2001 84 2002 375 2003 43 Total 2,724 Annual Avg 195 Affordable Units J 301 TOTAL UNITS BY AFFORDABILlTY LEVEL Affordability Level1 Total Affordable Units % Share Low and Ver¡ Low: < 80% Median Income" 256 85% Moderale: 80 - 120% Median Income' 45 15% Total Affordable Units 301 100% 1 Affordable units do nol include markel rate rentals which arc mosl1y affordable 10 the moderate category (80% \0 120%) 2 Source: Construction Industry Research Board Permitted housing units J Source: City of Cupertino ~ Source: Cily of Cupenino Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associales. Inc Filename: 11413 006\macro analysis: Affordable producllon; 10/15/2004; hgr (~- 3 3 TABLE 11-3 HISTORICAL RELATIONSHIP: EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, RESIDENTIAL UNIT DEMAND JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT ABAG HISTORICAL DATA Sphere of Influence Jobs Job Growth - Per ABAG ' 1990 2000 39,260 45.330 Increase 6,070 Worker Households @ 1.72 2 3.529 Growth in Households/Housing Units, Per Housing Element J New Units 1990 - 2000 2,074 Relationship of Housing Units to New Worker Household, Deficit for 1: 1 Ratio 0.59 :1 (1,455) See Tab!e !1·2 ABAG Projeclions 2002 and Projections 2003 Workers per worker household from US Census Data for Santa Clara County The Cupertino General Plan Housing Element Note: The Cupertino Sphere or Innuence (SOl) includes the annexed Rancho Riconada area In 1990. there were 50 jobs located within the SOl but outside of tile jurisdictional boundary In 2000, there were 420 jobs located within the SOl bul outside or [he jurisdictional boundary Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates. Joe Filename: 11413 006\macro analysis; Historical Relationship; 10/15/2004; hgr 1'-/- 3y TABLE 11-4 PROJECTION: EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, RESIDENTIAL UNIT DEMAND JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT ABAG PROJECTIONS Sphere of Influence Projected Job Growth· Per ABAG 1 2000 2010 45.330 51.120 Increase 5.790 Worker Households @ 1 72 ' 3,366 Projected Households/Housing Units ~ Per ABAG 1 2000 2010 18,990 20.490 Increase 1.500 Relationship Housing Units to New Worker Households Detldl for 1:1 Ratio 0.45 :1 (1,866) ABAG Projections 2003 Workers per worKer household from US Census Data for Santa Clara Counly Nole: The Cupertino Sphere of Influence (501) inc1udes ¡he annexed Rancl1Q Riçonada area In 2000, there were 420 Jobs located within the SOl but outside of the jurisdictional boundary ]n 2010. ABAG projects Ihere will be 660 jobs in the SOl but outside of the jurisdictional boundary Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associales. Inc Filename: 11413 Q06\macro analysis; future rt~lalionsh!p; 10/1512004; hgr ('i~J) [This page left Intentionally blank.] (l{~ J" Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 26 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004, DRAFT SECTION III - MICRO ECONOMIC JOBS HOUSING ANALYSIS This section presents a summary of the analysis of the linkage between three types of workplace buildings and the estimated number of households in the income categories that will, on average, be employed within those buildings. This section should not be read or reproduced without the narrative discussions presented in the previous sections. Analysis Approach and Framework The micro analysis estabiishes the jobs housing linkages for individual building types or land use activities using the relationships presented and discussed in Section II. The analysis approach is to examine the employment associated with the development of 100,000 square foot building modules. Then. through a series of linkage steps, the number of employees Is converted to households and housing units by affordability level. The findings are expressed in terms of numbers of households related to building area. In the final step, we convert the numbers of households back to the per square foot level. The building types or land use activities addressed in the analysis are: · Office/h ig h tech · Hotel including other lodging lypes that serve the visitor industry · Retail/entertainment type uses, which include some of the services that locate in retail type space. Section II presented information on the income categories addressed in this analysis. For a four person household, these income levels are: · Very Low Income - Up to 50% of Area Median Income: Up to $53,050 · Low Income - 50%-80% of AMI: $53,051-$84,900 · Moderate Income - 80%-120% of AMI: $84,901-$126,600 · Workforce Income -120%-150% of AMI: $126,601-$158,250 The analysis is conducted using a computerized model that KMA has developed for application in many jurisdictions for which the firm has conducted similar analyses The model inputs are all local data to the extent possible and are fully documented. Analysis Steps Tables 111-1 through 111-4 at the end of this section summarize the nexus analysis steps for the three building types. Following is a description of each step of the analysis: (l.{ - :) { 11413006\001-003,10115/2004,ORAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Jnc Page 27 Step 1 - Estimate of Tota/ New Emp/oyees The first step in Table 111-1 identifies the total number of direct employees who will work at or in the building type being analyzed, Employment density factors are used to make the conversion. The density factors used in this analysis are: · Office _ 300 square feet per employee Average office density is usually found in the range 200 to 300 square feet per employee depending on the character of the office activity (corporate headquarters vs back office to illustrate extremes), The City of Cupertino has assumed 300 square feet per employee in other analyses based on informal surveys of office buildings in the City. · Hotel and other lodging - One employee per room and 500 square feet per hotel room, or 500 square feet per employee, This rate covers a cross section of hotel types from lower service hotels where rooms may be smaller than 500 sq. ft. to higher service convention hotels where average room size (inclusive of the meeting space, etc.) is larger but the number of employees per room is higher. · Retail/entertainment uses - 350 square feet per employee. This category covers a broad range of experience from high service restaurants where densities are far grealer to some retail uses such as furniture stores where densities are far lower. Big box retailers also fall within the range, The density range is also applicable to most entertainment uses such as cinema, video rentals, live music venues, etc, All density factors are averages and individual uses can be expected to be fairly divergent from the average from time to time. (An ordinance provision usually addresses the possibility of a building that is so divergent from the average so as to need special treatment.) For ease of analysis and understanding, KMA conducted the analysis on protolype buildings at 100,000 square feet. We have used this size building in order to count jobs and housing units in whole numbers that can be readily communicated and understood. At the conclusion of the analysis, the findings are divided by building size to express the linkages per square foot, which are very small fractions of housing units. Based on the density factors outlined above, the number of employees in our hypothetical 100,000 square foot building is as follows: the office will house 333 employees. the hotel 200 employees, and the retail/entertainment 286 employees. (l{-3d' Keyser Marston Associates, \nc Page 28 11413,006\001-003.10/15/2004, DRAFT Step 2 - Adjustment for Changing Industries This step is an adjustment to take into account any declines, changes and shifts within all sectors of the local economy and to recognize that new space is not always 1.0.0% equivalent to net new employees. As discussed in Section II, Cupertino experienced expanding employment in the 199.o's across all industry sectors except manufacluring.5 For this analysis, a 5% adjustment is utilized to recognize the possibility of further declines and other internal economic adjustments. An ordinance provision will address demolition of major buildings as an offset to any impacts of the proposed construction. In the 1.0.0,.0.00 square foot office building, the 5% adjustment reduces the 333 employees to 317 net new employees. Step 3 - Adjustment from Employees to Employee Households This step (Table 111-1) converts the number of employees to the number of employee households that will work at or in the building type being analyzed. This step recognizes that there is, on average, more than one worker per household, and thus the number of housing units in demand for new workers must be reduced As noted in Section II, the workers per worker household ratio has eliminated from the equation all non-working households, such as retired persons, sludents. and those on public assistance. The Santa Clara County average of 1.72 workers per worker households is used in the analysis. For the office building, the 317 net new employees translate to 184 net new employee households. Step 4 - Occupational Distribution of Employees The occupational breakdown of employees is the first step to arriving at income level. Using the 2.0.02 National Industry-Specific Occupational Estimates, a cross-matrix of "industries" and occupations produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), we are able to estimate the occupational composition of employees in the three types of buildings. We first select a set of industries for each building type; the set is designed to reflect the mix of activities expected to be accommodated in new office, hotel, or retail buildings in Cupertino and are listed in Appendix 2. Using this mix of industries, the BLS data allows us to estimate the mix of occupations in each of the building types. The occupations that reflect the expected mix of industries are presented in Appendix Tables 3. 5 and 7 and summarized below. 5 There was also a decline in agricultural and mining jobs, although they are a very small portion of Cupertino jobs Source: ABAG /4" -31 11413006\001-003, 10/15/2004. DRAFT Keyser Marslon Associa!es. !nc Page 29 · For office buildings, we selected a broad set of high tech and professional service activities including software and telecommunications, business and financial operations, insurance, architecture and engineering, computer and mathematical, legal, management, and healthcare. Office and administrative support occupations are the most common occupations for lhese industries, at 35% of all office related employment. · Hotels employ workers primarily from three main occupation categories: building and grounds (including maid service), food preparation and serving related, and office and administrative support. Together, these occupations account for 76% of all hotel related employment · For retail establishment, we selected a broad set of industries, including car dealerships, apparel and home furnishings stores, grocery stores, restaurants, personal care services, dry cleaners, etc. Retail employment is dominated by three main occupation groups: sales, food preparation and serving related, and office and administrative support Together, these occupations account for 75% of all retail related employment The numbers in Step #4 (Table 111-1) indicate both the percenlage of total employee households and the number of employee households in our hypothetical 1 00,000 square foot buildings. Step 5 _ Estimates of Employee Households Meeting the Lower Income Definitions In this step, we translate occupation to income based on recent Santa Clara County wage and salary information for the occupations associated with each building type. The wage and salary information indicated in Appendix Tables 4, 6 and 8 provide the income inputs to the model. Service workers in office buildings, for example, were assigned different average income levels than service workers in hotels due to differing compositions of workers. This step in the analysis calculates the number of employee households who fall into each income' category for each size household. Individual employee income data was used to calculate the number of households that fall into these incûme categories by assuming that multiple earner households are, on average, formed of individuals with similar incomes. Employee households not falling into one of the major occupation categories per Appendix Tables 4,6, and 8 were assumed to have the same income distribution as the major occupation categories. See Appendix B for more information on Steps 5, 6, and 7. N~l(O Keyser Marston Associates, \nc Page 30 11413.005\001-003,10/15/2004,ORAFT Step 6 - Estimate of Household Size Distribution In this step, household size distribution is input into the model In order to estimate the income and household size combinations that meet the income definitions established by HlJD, as used by the State (HCD) and the City (presented in Section II). The household size distribution utilized in the analysis is that of Santa Clara County since the workers are more representative of the larger universe (the Counly) than the City of Cupertino Step 7 _ Estimate of Households that meet HUD Size and Income Criteria For this step we had to build a matrix of household size and income to establish probability factors for the two criteria in combination, For each occupational group a probability factor was calculated for each of HUD's income and household size levels. This step is performed for each occupational category and multiplied by the number of households Table 1I1-1A shows the result after completing Steps 5, 6, and 7. The calculated numbers of households that meet HUD size and income criteria shown in Table 11I-1A are for the Very Low Income, or under 50% of Area Median Income, category. The methodology is repeated for each income tier (See Table 111-2). Summary by Income Level Table 111-2 indicates the results of the analysis for the other three income categories for the three prolotypical 100,000 square foot buildings. The upper half of the table is the number of households in each affordability category and the tolal number up to 150% of median, The table below summarizes the percentage of total new worker households that fall into each income category. As indicated, nearly all retail and hotel worker households are below the 150% of median income level. Office worker households have the highest income with only 13% of worker households below 50% of median and 22% earning greater than 150% of median, Percent of Worker Households by Income Category Under 50% 50% to 80% 80% to 120% 120% to 150% :rotal Office Hotel Retail 12,5% 73.6% 64.1% 26,7% 16,7% 20.4% 27,3% 6,1% 7.5% 11.7% 0,8% 1.4% 78% 97% 93% Adjustment for Commute Relationship Table 111-3 indicates the results of the analysis both before and after an adjustment for commute relationship, As discussed in Section II, residents of Cupertino currently hold 9.9% (l{-C{( 11413006\001-003,10/15/2004, DRAFT I<eyser Marston Associates, lnc Page 31 of the jobs in Cupertino If the existing commute relationship were to hold for new employee households, 9_9% would be expected to reside in Cupertino. The estimales of households for each income category in a prototypical 1 00,000 square foot building are adjusted downwards by this commute factor_ Summary by Square Foot Building Area The analysis thus far has worked with prototypical buildings of 100,000 square feel In this step, the conclusions are translated to the per-square-foot level and expressed as coefficients. These coefficients state the portion of a household, or housing unit, by affordability level with which each square foot of building area is associated (See Table 111-4.) This is the summary of the housing nexus analysis, or the linkage from buildings to employees to housing demand by income level We believe that it is a conservative approximation (understates the low end) of the households by income/affordability level associated with these building types_ See end of Section IV for a list of conservative assumptions_ II.{ -l{ L- Keyser Marston Associates. !nc Page 32 11413006\001-003. 10/15/2004. ORAFT TABLE 111·1 NET NEW HOUSEHOLDS ANO OCCUPATION DISTRIBUTION BY BUILDING TYPE JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT Prolotypfcal100,OOO Sq,FL Buildings RETAIL I OFFICE HOTEL ENTRTNMNT Step 1· Estimate of Employees per 100,000 Sq F! Employee Density Fador (SF per employee) 300 500 350 Number of Employees 333 200 286 Slep 2 - Adjustment rOf Changing Industries 317 190 271 Replacement Factor (5%) Step 3 - Adjustment for Number of Households (172) 184 111 158 SLep 4 - Occupation Distribution' Management Occupations 9 1% 50% 35% Business and Financial Opera lions 104% 12% 07% Com puler and Mathematical 82% 01% 03% ArchHeclure and Engineering 45% 00% 01% Lire. Physical. and Socia! Science 17% 00% 00% Community and Social ServIces 03% 00% 00% Lega! 32% 00% 00% Educalion. Tr¡¡Îning. and Library 02% 00% 00% Arts, Design. Entertainment. Sports. and Media 18% 04% 06% Heauhcare Practitioners and Technical 73% 0.0% 11% Heallhcare Support 37% 02% 03% Prolective Service 03% 20% 04% Food Preparalion and SelVing Related 03% 291%. 303% Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maint 15% 302% 09% Personal Care and Service 04% 41% 20% Sales and Related 64% 24% 335% Office and Administrative Support 350% 172% 109% Farming. Fishing. and Forss!f'j 00% 00% 01% Construction and Exlraction 05% 02% 03% Inslallation. Maintenance. and Repair 30% 40% 52% Production 11% 23% 30% Transporta!ion and Maleriat Moving 0.7% 1.6% 6.9% Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Management Occupations 168 55 57 Business and Financial Operations 192 13 11 Computer and Mathematical 150 02 04 Architecture and Engineering 83 00 01 life. Physical. and Social Science 31 00 00 Community and Sodal Services 06 00 00 Legal 59 00 00 Education. Training. and Library 05 00 01 Aris, DesIgn. EnterialnmenL Sports, and Med!a 33 04 09 HeaHl1care Pradilioner$ and Tf:chnical 135 00 17 HeaUhcare Support 69 02 04 Protedive Service 06 23 06 Food Preparation and Serving Related 06 32 1 478 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maint 28 333 14 Persona! Care {)nd Service 08 45 32 Sales and Related 11.7 27 529 O!~ce and Administrative Suppor1 645 190 171 Farming. Fishing_ and Forestry o 1 00 01 Conslruclion and Extraction 10 02 04' Installation. Maintenance, and Repair 55 44 82 ProducHon 20 25 47 Transportalion and Materia! Moving .Li 1J! ..1JU! Totals 184 111 156 ·1 employeo pßrroom@500sqll/room 1See Aooand!x Tables 2 4 and 6 for addiliooal informalion fronl which \l1e oorccn!aoa dislribulions were derivod {<-{ -l/ .3 Prep"redby:KeyserMarslonAssoc!;¡!es.lnc Fitan¡¡ma: Cup·Maln Modcl-135_100; 111·1 Households; 1011~12004; dd TABLE 11I·IA ESTIMATE OF QLlALlFYING HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME LEVEL JOBS HOLlSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT Prototypical 1 OQ,OOO Sq.Ft. Buildings Analysis for Households Earning Less than 50% Median OFFICE HOTEL RETAIL! ENTRTNMNT Step 5, 6, & 7 _ Households in Major Occupation Categories Earning Less than 50% Median' Management 045 019 0.03 Business and Financial Operations 0.01 000 000 Computer and Mathematical 000 000 000 Architecture and Engineering 001 0.00 000 Life, Physical and Socia! Science 000 000 0.00 Community and Social Servìces 000 000 000 Legal 002 000 000 Education Training and Library 000 000 000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 000 000 000 Heallhcare Practitioners and Technical 0.00 000 000 HeaHhcare Support 128 000 000 Protective Service 000 000 000 Food Preparation and Serving Related 000 2935 44 14 Building Grounds and Maintenance 000 2932 0.00 Personal Care and ServIce 000 2.87 000 Sales and Related 290 0.00 35.85 otnce and Admin 1552 1025 674 Farm. Fishing, and Forestry 0.00 000 000 Construction and Extraction 0.00 000 000 Installation Maintenance and Repair 075 079 1 90 Production 0.00 000 000 Transportation and Material Movìng 0.00 0.00 6.66 Talal HH earning less than 50% Median - Major Occupations 20.96 72 76 9532 HH earning Jess Il1an 50% Median· "aU other" occupations 2.10 8.56 5.82 Total Households Earning Less than 50% of Median 23.1 81.3 101.1 ISee Aooendix Tables 1 3 and 5 for additional Information on Malar Occuoatlon Cateaories Prepared by: Key~er Marston Associates, Inc Filename: Cup-Main Model-135_100; IIJ-1A Households: 10/15/2004; dd {c-f ~L( Lf TABLE 111-2 WORKER HOUSEHOLDS BY AFFORDABILlTY LEVEL JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT Analysis for Households Before Commute Adjustment Per 100,000 sq. ft. of building area. RETAIL! Household Income Level OFFICE HOTEL ENTRTNMNT Under 50% Median Income 2306 8132 10114 50% Lo 80% Median Income 4909 18.47 32.18 80% to 120% Median Income 50.20 6.74 11.83 120% to 150% Median Income 2152 1.51 2.61 Total 143.88 108.04 147.75 Tolal New Worker Households 184 III 158 Under 50~/o Median Income 125% 736% 64.1% 50% lo 80% Median Income 267% 16.7% 20.4% 80% to 120% Median Income 27.3% 6.1% 7.5% 120% to 150% Median Income 11.7% 0.8% 1.4% Total 78% 97% 931Jjo Noles: I Before commute adjustment Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Filename: Cup-Main Model-135_100; 111·2 AffordabUity; 10/15/2004; dd (I..f.~l/) TABLE 111·3 WORKER HOUSEHOLDS BY AFFORDABILlTY LEVEL AFTER COMMUTE ADJUSTMENT JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT PROTOTYPICAL 100,000 SQ. FT. BUILDING BEFORE COMMUTE ADJUSTMENT INCOME CATEGORY Under 50% of Median Income 50% to 80% of Median Income 80% to 120% of Median Income 120% to 150% of Median Income AFTER 9.90% Commute Adjustment INCOME CATEGORY Under 50% of Median Income 50% to 80% of Median Income 80% to 120% of Median Income 120% 10 150% of Median Income " Per 100,000 sq. ft of buildin9 area Number of Households 1 Office Hotel Rll.IEnl. 2306 8132 101 14 Total 49.09 18.47 32.18 5020 6.74 11.83 21.52 ill 2.61 143.88 108.04 147.75 Number of Households 1 Office Holel RtI.lEnl. 228 8.03 9.99 4.85 1.82 3.18 496 0.67 117 2.13 0.15 0.26 14.21 10.67 14.59 Total Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. Filename: 11413.Q06\Cup-Main Model-135_100; \11-3 ModeJ Summary; 10/15/2004; dd ¡'{-\..fCc TABLE 111·4 HOUSING DEMAND NEXUS FACTORS PER SQ.FT. OF BUILDING AREA JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT WITH COMMUTE ADJUSTMENT AT 9.90% Number of Housing Units per Sq.Ft. of Building Area' RETAIL! OFFICE HOTEL ENTRTNMNT o 00002277 0.00008030 0.00009987 o 00004848 0.00001824 0.00003177 o 00004957 0.00000665 0.00001168 0.00002125 0.00000149 0.00000258 0.00014207 0.00010668 0.00014589 Under 50% Median Income 50% to 80% Median Income 80% to 120% Median Income 120% to 150% of Median Income Total 1CalculaLed by dividing number of household in boltom left portion of Table 1\1-3 by 100.000 to convert households per 100,000 sq n 'building to households per 1 sq ft of buiJding Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, {nc Filename: Cup-Main Madel-135_100; 111-4 Demand; 10115/2004; dd (l{, -L( Î [This page left blank intentionally.] {l{ ~.. L( If Keyser Marston Assodales, Inc Page 38 11413006\001·003, 10/15/2004. DRAFT SECTION IV: TOTAL HOUSING LINKAGE COSTS This section takes the conclusions of the previous section on the number of households in the lower income categories associated with each building type and identifies the tolal cost of assistance required to make housing affordable The previous seclion identified the number of households by affordabilily level associated with the three building types in Cupertino. This section puts a cost on each unit at each affordability level to produce the "total nexus cost" A key component of the analysis is the size of the "affordability gap" - the difference between what households can afford and the cost of producing additional housing in Cupertino_ This analysis uses a standard methodology to determine what households can afford. and compares that to the cost of developing housing. The analysis is conducted for the four affordability levels addressed in this assignment: Very Low Income, Low Income, Moderate Income and Workforce Income_ We assume that the two lower categories would be housed in rental apartment units and the two more middle income categories would be housed in ownership units_ Income and Household Size Assumptions Income definitions for housing programs are established by HUD and issued by the State Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) for each county for varying household sizes, as presented in Section 11 and Appendix t In order to determine the affordability gap, we must match a household of each income level with a unit type and size according to governmental regulations and policies_ The prototypical project for both rental and ownership units represent the lower end of the average range for what the private sector is currently developing in Cupertino _ The average three person household is assumed to be accommodated in a two bedroom unit The unit type for the two lower income categories is a three to four story, wood frame apartment complex built at a density of 40 units per acre with covered surface parking at 2_0 spaces per unit. The average unit size is 1,100 sq. ft. The ownership product is a condominium project developed at 34 units per acre_ The construction is wood frame over underground parking. There is also surface parking on the site; together, the parking equates to 2_0 spaces per unit. The average unit size is 1,100 sq - ft. In this analysis, the midpoint of the income ranges for qualifying households in each category has been utilized to calculate affordable home prices. For households earning between 120% and 150% of AMI, we estimate their affordable home price using 135% of AMI. For households Il(-l.{'i' 19092008\001-003; 1011512004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associales.Jnc Page 39 earning between 80% and 120% of AMI, we use 100%. For low income households earning between 50% and 80% of AMI, we use 65% and for under 50% of AMI, we use 40% of AMI. Development Costs The cost of developing new residential units in Cupertino was assembled from a number of sources. The City provided information on recent developments in Cupertino in order to determine the design of the prolotypes. KMA reviewed current data on rent levels of new projects and sales activity for attached ownership projects. Finally, KMA is actively working on a number of rental and condominium projects at various locations in Silicon Valley and has recent developer pro forma financial analyses. From the above sources, KMA prepared a summary of total development costs, broken down into the major cost components: land, direct construction costs (including parking), and indirect costs, such as design and engineering, fees, financing, etc. The table below presents the costs for a two bedroom apartment and condominium on a per-unit basis. Apartments Size Land Direct Construction Indirect/Financing Total Costs Per Sq. Ft. 1,100Sq.Ft $55,000 $145,000 $59,000 $259,000 $235 Co ndo m i niumsrr own homes Size Land Direct Construction Indirect/Financing Developer's Profit Total Costs Per Sq. Ft 1,100 Sq. Ft $90,000 $222,500 $118,150 $47,850 $478,500 $435 See Tables IV-1 and IV-2 for more information. Affordability Gap The affordabilily gap is the difference between the cost of developing a residential unit and, the amount a household can afford to pay. The next step in determining the affordability gap is' to calculate the maximum rent level or sales price affordable to each of the four income groups. rl{.-- JZ) Keyser Marston Associates, loe Page 40 11413006\001-003,IOI15/2004,ORAFT This step is basically driven by formula per federal and state standards and local policies. The key standards in this analysis are: · A three person household in a two bedroom unit; · For rental units, 30% of monthly income available for rent and utilities; · For ownership units, 30% of monthly income available for mortgage, property taxes, insurance and homeowners association and; · For ownership units, the mortgage assumption is a 5% down payment, a 6.5% interest rate, and a 30 year fixed mortgage Rental Units The affordable rent calculations for the very low and low income households are provided in Table IV-3. The lhree-person households at very low income can afford $896 per month in rent; the same size household at low income can afford $1,489 per month in rent. In order to calculate the affordability gap. we must first convert rental income into a value supported per unit. The first step is to establish the net operating income per unil, or income after other miscellaneous income (laundry, etc) and adjustment for normal vacancy and operating expenses. Again, based on our research, the operating expense and vacancy allowance is estimated at $7,1 00 per unit per year, which includes property management, property taxes, and certain other expenses. The annual net operating income (after operating expenses) from an apartment unit is an annual figure, which must be converted to a one time capital cost. To make the conversion, a 7% capitalization rate is used. The resulls are shown below. Annual Operating Affordable Income Cateqory Rent Expenses Net Income Unit Value 1 Very Low Income (Up to $10,700 $ 7,100 $3,600 $ 52,100 50% AMI) ($900/mo.) Low Income (50% to 80% $17,900 $ 7,100 $10,800 $153,800 AMI) ($1,490/mo) 1. Net Income capilalized at 7% The affordability gap is the difference between the result of lhis analysis and the cost of development. The calculations for the two income levels are shown below. ¡l{~rl 19092008\001-003; 10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, !nc Page 41 Income Cateqory Development Affordable Unit Affordabilitv Cost Value Gap $259,000 $ 52,100 $206,900 $259,000 $153,800 $105,200 Very Low Income (Up to 50% AMI) Low Income (50% to 80% AMI) Ownership Units A parallel analysis is conducted for ownership units. The value supported, or sales price affordable, is based on 30% of income spent on housing related expenses and the assumptions listed above concerning mortgage financing: 6.5% interest on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage with 5% down. Annual homeowners association charges and other utility costs are estimated at around $300 per month. Property taxes are estimated based on the affordable unit price. Table IV-4 summarizes the analysis. The moderate income household (100% of AMI) can afford a unit that costs $300,000 and the workforce income household (135% of AMI) can afford a unit that costs $421,000. The affordability gaps are the differences between these sales prices afforded and the costs of development, as follows: Income Cateqory Development Cost Affordable Unit Price Affordability Gap Moderate Income (80% to 120% AMI) Workforce Income (120% 10150% AMI) $479,000 $479,000 $300,000 $421,000 $179,000 $ 58,000 Total Linkage Costs The last step in the linkage fee analysis marries the findings on the numbers of households at each of the lower income ranges associated with the three types of buildings to the affordability gaps, or the costs of developing housing for them in Cupertino. Table IV-5 summarizes the analysis. The numbers of households associated with each building type by income category, indicated on the left side of the table, assume 100,000 square foot buildings. The Affordability Gaps are from the prior discussion. At the right the "Nexus Cost Per Square Foot" shows the results of the calculation: number of units times affordability gap, divided by 100,000 sq.. ft. to bring the conclusion back to the per square foot level. The total nexus costs are calculated for the total impact, as indicated in the upper portion of the table, and after an adjustment for the fact that only a share of the worker households will seek housing in Cupertino (the "Commute Adjustment"). IL('-JL Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 42 11413006\001-003.10/15/2004, DRAFT The Table IV-5 analysis conclusions, after adjusting for households who commute to Cupertino, are as follows: Office Hotel Retail/Entertainment Under 50% Median Income 50% to 80% Median Income 80% to 120% Median Income 120% to 150% Median Income Total $471 $510 $884 $1.22 $19.87 $16.61 $1.92 $1.19 $0.09 $19.80 $2066 $334 $2.08 $0.15 $26.23 These costs express the total linkage or nexus costs for the three building types. These total nexus costs represent the ceiling for any requirements placed on new construction for affordable housing. The totals are not the recommended levels forfees; they represent only the maximums established by this analysis, below which fees or other requirements may be set. In establishing the total nexus cost many conservative assumptions were employed in the analysis that result in a total nexus cost that is probably understated. These conservative assumptions include: · The commute adjustment, or target, assumes that only 9.9% of all new employee households are largeted to be accommodated in Cupertino. This is the existing condition already driven by affordability constraints The City could readily adopt a policy to house more than 1 0% of its new worker households. · The methodology for discounting double income households essentially removes almost all two-i'ncome households from lhe lower income strata (by assuming the multiple incomes place the households in higher income categories). · No Census or other hard data was available enabling a distinction between the household size composition of office/high tech workers, hotel workers and retail sales people. Anecdotally one can observe that there are probably some significant differences. · Only direct employees are counted in the analysis. Many indirect employees are also associated with each new workspace. Indirect employees in an office building, for example, include janitors, window washers, landscape maintenance people, delivery personnel, and a whole range of others. Hotels do have many of these workers on staff, but hotels also "contract out" a number of services that are not taken into account in the analysis. In summary, many less conservative assumptions could be made that would result in higher linkage costs 1 <-{-Y3 19092008\001·003; 1011512004, ORAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. Page 43 TABLE IV-1 RESIDENTIAL PROTOTYPE -- RENTAL HOUSING JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION ONLY Development Program Number of Units Number of Stories Total Rentable Sq. Ft. Site Size Dwelling Units/Acre Construction Type Parking: Type Spaces Spaces/Unit Unit Mix & Size One Bedroom Two-Bedroom Three-Bedroom Average Unit Size (rounded): Development Cost Land Construction (incl. Parking) In directs/Financing Tolal Development Cost 100 3-4 stories 109.000 SF 25 acres 109,000 SF 40 du/ac Wood Frame Covered Surface 200 2 per unit 20 60 20 100 850 sq fl 1,100 sq ft 1.300 sq fl 1.100 sq fl Cost Per Unit $ 55,000 $ 145,00lJ $ 59,000 $ 259,000 Prepared by Keyser Marston Associates. Inc Filename: 11413006\Res Prototypes;rentaI4; 1 O/15/2004;MTN Equals $50/SF of land area. Equals $132/SF of rentable area. Equals 41 % of direct construction costs Equals $235/SF of rentable area. (\.{ -51 TABLE IV-2 RESIDENTIAL PROTOTYPE - OWNERSHIP JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT Development Program Number of Units Number of Slories Site Size Dwelling Units/Acre Construction Type Parking: Type Spaces Spaces/Unit Unit Mix & Size Two Bedroom Two Bedroom Two Bedroom Two Bedroom Development Cost Land Construction (incl Parking) Indirects/Financing Developer's Profit Total Development Cost 46 2-3 stories 1.35 gross acres 34 du/gr.ac Wood Frame Underground and Surface 92 Total (60 underground/32 surface) 2.00/ Unit 10 12 10 14 46 938 SF 973 SF 1,088 SF 1,198 SF 1,100 SF Cost Per Unit $ 90,000 $ 222,500 $ 118,150 $ 47,850 $ 478,500 Equals $70/SF of land area Equals $35,000 for parking per unit and $170/SF of livable area Equals 53% of construction costs (including atl fees, insurance. cost of sales, etc.) Equals t 0% of sales price; industry standard Equals $435/SF of setlable area Prototype based on Tra Vigne Villas (with adjusted parking ratios); costs based on pro formas for comparable projects with adjustments made for time and location. 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"}«"'¡: 0 ~ " Ul 0 ~ " " w w w 0 E ",1-'" u. 0 " " 1j " " ill W W W :. ro '0 '" t;: U '0 '" <1:00- L1J U 0 ,. 0 a. « « « 0.0 '" '" ~ 0 ;: '" '" N ~ª ¡-f-..,u '" ;: :J '" 00 Co « :J '0 " a.~ ( l{ - )5' SECTION V - MATERIALS TO ASSIST IN SELECTING FEE lEVELS The purpose of this sedion is to provide information to assist policymakers in updating the Jobs Housing Impact Fee program in Cupertino. As indicated at the end of the previous section, the nexus analysis establishes maximum levels supported by the analysis Recognizing a variety of Ci.ty objectives, policymakers may set the fees or other obligations at any level below the maximum and may design other program features to meet local goals and objectives The materials in this seclion have nothing to do with establishing the nexus. Instead this section provides an assembly of materials that helps answer questions frequenlly asked when designing a fee program: How can a fee level be selected? How do we evaluate when a fee will slow development? How much revenue will be produced? What do other cities do in their programs? Current Fee Program The current fee program has been in place since 1993 and applies to all office and "industrial" development throughout the city. The fee was initially sel at $2.00 per square foot with the provision that it could be adjusted annually per the Consumer Price Index. The City has made a few adjustments to the point at the current level is now $2.25 per square foot. The fees are payable upon issuance of building permit for all new space classified as office or industrial. This section of the report provides information 10 assist in determining a more substantial adjustment to the fee level and possibly expanding the program to include hotel and retail building types. Fees as a Percent of the Nexus Amount Policy makers may establish fees at any level below the maximum for the three building types in the analysis - office, hotel, retail/entertainment - in the same proportion to the nexus or may independently select the fee for each building type, weighing policy considerations separately for each one. Most jurisdictions now select the latter approach. The proportion to nexus cost approach is illustrated below: Buildinq Type Nexus Cost Fee @ 25% Office Hotel Retail/Entertainment $19.87 $26.23 $1980 $4.96 $6.56 $4.95 I <t ~ )7 190920081001-003; 10115/2004. ORAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 49 The principal advantage of this approach lies in its simplicity and avoidance of addressing each fee independently The disadvantage is that there could be a disproportionate burden on one building type. Alternatively, there could be a lost opportunity in not charging a higher fee on a building type that could clearly sustain it in the interest of working from the lowest common denominator. It is noted that the total nexus cost is comprised of four separate income tiers - very low income, low income, moderate income. and "workforce" income. The workforce tier, which is 120% to 150% of Area Median Income was included in the analysis per City staff direction, in the event that policy makers wish to include this tier In the program. If policy makers do not want this tier included the nexus costs would be lowered. (See Table IV-5 and subtract the row of numbers for the 120% to 150% category. For example, the office total nexus cost is reduced to $1865.) The decision as to whelher to include the tier should be made to be consistent with how the City wishes to spend fee revenue dollars. If the City wishes to Include assistance to "workforce" income level households as part of the program, then the income tier should be included in the nexus analysis. Total Development Cost Evaluation One way to evaluate the impact of alternative fee levels on the development of commercial and industrial projects is to examine total development costs. The chief concern of policy makers in deliberating housing linkage fees is whether the fee will have a negative impact on development activity. Most cities want more financial resources for affordable housing but not at the expense of driving desirable development activity outside the city borders. The three building types addressed in the nexus analysis have been further expanded into subsets to reflect several different configurations or conditions in Cupertino. In the office/high tech building type we look at small infill and large office prototypical projects. For retail/restaurant, we look at a freestanding restaurant and a prototypical strip retail space. For hotel building types, we look at an extended stay/lirnlted service hotel and a more upscale, full service hotels. The purpose is to evaluate alternative fee levels In light of total development costs to ascertain to what extent costs wouid be increased assuming, for a moment, all othei costs 8í8 fixed. Total development costs have been assembled inclusive of land, building construction, tenant improvements, and indirect or "soft" costs such as architectural and engineering, fees, financing, etc. A key variable in each configuration Is the parking, both the number of spaces relative to building area and the location of the parking - at grade or structured. As with the residential total development costs, the City provided us with information on proposed af)d recently developed projects. Using actual City projects as a baseline, KMA drew from our extensive experience on projects located within Silicon Valley to estimale development costs. (I.{ -IPð Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 50 11413 006\001-003; 10/15/2004. DRAFT Office/High Tech Two configurations of office projects were evaluated. The configurations represent a large and a small building, one with structured parking and one with surface parking. One prototype is a large office complex, which encompasses two five-story buildings or 100,000 square feet of building area. A 2.5 FAR and subterranean parking is assumed for this large project based on a recent submittal to the City. The second prototype is a small 20,000 square foot two-story infill project with a 0.5 FAR and surface parking. Land has been assumed available in the $50 to $100 per square foot range, which is consistent with recent estimates for Cupertino The "all in" cost range is $270 to $375 per square foot, or about $275 to $375 per square foot. (Table V-1) Hotel/Lodging Hotel and other lodging costs are summarized as per room costs, per the practice of the industry. Two prototypes are examined - a full service upscale hotel of five or more stories and predominantly subterranean parking, and a limited service or extended stay product of four stories with split surface and below grade parking. Total "all in" costs range from $165,000 per room for the limited service product and $200,000 per room for the full service hotel Due to the different density characteristics of hotels, the "all in" per square foot cost is in the range of $335 to $340 per square foot. Land costs are the same range as the high-end office/high tech (Table V-2). RetaillEntertainment Retail and entertainment uses present a particular problem at this point in time because many of these uses are not feasible due to the dramalic increase of officeihigh tech land value that occurred during the late 1990's (During the current recession there may be a drop in values, but for the most part short term recessions are marked by an absence of transactions). We have shown total development costs of two projects. One is a free-standing restaurant with surface parking and an FAR of 0.18. The other is a retail project located in a small cluster of shops. Land is estimated at $40 to $60 per square foot to reflect that these eslablishments are typically located in less prominent areas of the city. The restaurant prototype is particulariy expensive to build, with costs estimated at around $475 per square foot, more than half of which is land due to the amount of parking required. The strip retail is estimated to cost around $330 per square foot. r\{ ~ & ( 18092008\001-003; 10115/2004. DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 51 Summary In summary, total development costs generally fall in the range of $300 to $400 dollars per square foot for the three building types under consideration. As noted, many types of retail/restaurant projects are not feasible at this time due 10 these costs. Total cost ranges and fee ranges per square foot, per this approach would be as follows: Total Development Cost Fee @. 1% Fee @. 2% Office/High Tech Hotel Retail $270-$375 $330-$350 $275-$550 $2.70-$3.75 $3.30-$350 $2.75-$550 $5.40-$750 $6.60-$700 $5.50-$1100 We do not recommend setting fees in this manner, but do believe the cost burden approach examining the 1 % to 2% range is helpful for bracketing a range to consider. Impact on Land Values The evaluation of total development costs assumes, for the moment. that all costs are fixed. While most costs of development are relatively fixed, or at least not subject to adjustment as a result of local policies, land cost is not Land cost is the variable in the equation that adjusts to reflect the income capacity of the market forces. Rents and values generally act independent of costs. As a result, an increased cost of development due to a local fee will not be directly translated to a higher rent being achievable. The variable that adjusts is land value. If costs are increased as a result of a local fee, land values are theoretically decreased by a corresponding amount. In a project built at a Floor Area Ratio (FAR) of 1, a $5 fee will theoretically reduce land value by $5 per square foot. At an FAR of 0 5: 1 or 50% coverage factor, the $5 fee will depress values by $2.50. At 2: 1 FAR, the $5 fee will theoretically depress land values by $10 per square foot. The word theoretically is dispersed throughout the discussion. in the reai world, other forces, most particularly market demand, drive land values far more powerfully than fees do. Between 1995 and 2000, land values doubled, and in places tripled, in Silicon Valley as a result of market pressures. As the economy cooled, further escalations tapered off with some retreating to former levels of not so long ago. Any fee that Cupertino is likely to assess will have only a marginal impact on these far broader fluctuations. {1.{~bL Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 52 11413006\001-003: 10/15/2004, ORAFT Other Ordinance or Program Features A Housing Impact Fee Program may have other features to address specific policy objectives or concerns The most common ones are: Minimum Size Threshold A minimum size threshold sets a building size over which fees are in effect. Many programs have no such threshold, as has been the case with the Cupertino program. In general, the programs with the higher fees tend 10 have more significant thresholds. Programs with low fees often have no thresholds and all construction is subject to lhe fee. Geographic Area Variations Some cities with linkage fee programs exclude specific areas such as redevelopment areas and enterprise or empowerment zones. Cupertino did not establish geographic area variations in its current program. However, City staff has indicated their concern that establishing a fee for new retail space could adversely impact the Vallco Shopping Center, which is located in a redevelopment area Exempting the redevelopment area would be one way for Cupertino to address this concern. Specific Use Exemptions The most common exemptions are child care centers and non-profit institutional uses, particularly cultural and religious ones. Reasons for exemption are as follows: · Minimize cost impacts on a particularly desirable type of project, such as child care centers · Recognition that most projects are developed by the public sector which is not subject to the fees in any case. · Recognition that meaningful averages to cover a broad range of institutional type uses (outside of medical and educational) are very difficult. · The necessary administrative time 10 process customized fees and variances for uses in this category. · The volume of construction of such uses is minimal, resulting in minimal fee revenue loss. For some or all of these reasons, most programs do not attempt to charge fees on non-profit, institutional uses other tllan medical and educational. l L( ~~ 3 19092008\001-003; 10/15/2004, DRAFT Keyser Marston Associates, Inc Page 53 Other Jurisdiction Housing Linkage Programs . It is always of interest to policy makers to know what other cities and counties have in place in the way of similar programs. As a generality, compared to inclusionary programs, linkage programs are far fewer in number and are far less complex Table V-4 is a two-page chart summarizing the programs in California jurisdictions. The organization of the chart is by fee amount The top tier is cities with fees of $10 per square foot or more - San Francisco, Palo Alto, and Menlo Park, all cities with very powerful market conditions, the current recession notwithstanding. The second tier is jurisdictions that have programs in the $4 to $9 per square foot range Several Silicon Valley cities are in this category. A number of jurisdictions have update programs underway and will likely move into this tier. The third tier is the lower fee jurisdictions where lhe Cupertino program is currently placed. The chart provides information on a number of program features in addilion to the fee amount. Summary This section of the report has provided materials to assist in deliberating an adjustment to the Cupertino program fee levels All fee levels likely to be considered are far below the "total nexus cost," the only legal constraint to setting the fees. Fees should be established based on the nexus and any combination of policy consideralions that the City wishes to bring to bear. In Cupertino, some of the choices could be: · Increase past fees by a consistent amount across the board, such as doubling or tripling them; · Apply a percentage to the total nexus cost, such as the 25% example; · Apply a percentage to the total development costs estimates; and · Select fee levels independently based on policy considerations, using no formula, but drawing on all of the above approaches. One frequent simplification is to set fees on buildings with similar nexus and development costs at a single fee level- such as Cupertino has done with its program thus far. All approaches have validity; there is no one correct way to select fees, beyond a careful consideration of local policies and goals. II..{ -{; Y Keyser Marston Associates. Inc. Page 54 11413.006\001.003; 10/15/2004, DRAFT TABLE V·1 OFFICE/HIGH TECH PROTOTYPES TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COSTS JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT Land (Per sf land) (Per SF bui!ding area) Direct Costs Indìrects & Financing @ 25% Permits & Fees Parking Cost (psI bldg. area) (Cosl per space) (Number of spaces) (2) Total (Per SF building area) 100.000 SF 5 stories Subterranean parking 25:1 FAR (1, $80 $100 $32 $40 $150 $170 $60 $65 $8 $12 $88 $2S.000 /space 351 ·1 space per 28S SF $340 - $375 /SF (1) Direct costs include construction, on-sites and tenant improvements financing costs (2) As required by Cily code (1 space per 285 square feel) Prepared by I<eyser Marston Associates. Ifle Section V;aflic6: 1 0/15/2004; hgr 20.000 SF 2 stories Surface Parking 05:1 FAR $50 $80 $100 $160 $125 $145 $35 $40 $5 $g $5 $1.S00 Ispace 71 1 space per 285 SF $270 - $360 ISF Indirect costs include soft costs and (L{ -fp J TABLE V·2 HOTEL PROTOTYPES TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COSTS JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT Development Costs ($IRoom) Parking Limited Service! Extended Stay 4 Slories/120 Rooms 097:1 FAR 20% al grade 80% Subterranean Full Service MidøRise Hotel 5 Slories/140 Rooms 1.5:1 FAR 10% at grade 90% Subterranean (Per sf land area) (Per sf Bldg area) $40,000 $80 $83 $40,000 $100 $67 Land Direct Costs Sile Work Building FF&E $3,000 $65.000 $12,500 $80,500 $3.000 $7S,000 $25,000 $103.000 Indirects & Financing @ 30% $24,150 $30.900 Permits & Fees $550 $105,200 $900 $134,800 Parking Cost (psf bldg. area) (1 sp/room plus 1 sp/employee) $20,000 $27,000 l'¡ Total, including Land (rounded) $165,000 :': $202,000 :': Per Sq FI Bldg Area (Sq FI/Room) $341 ISF 500 SF $337/SF 600 SF 1 Parking costs are higher because of a higher parking spaces per room ratio and because a larger percentage of the spaces are underground The parking space/room ratio is higher because there are more employees at the full service ¡lote!. Prepared by: Keyser I'v\¡Jrs\on Associates. Inc Seclion IJ\Hotel Protolypes:10/15/200'1;hgr I \.{ .-& {ç TABLE V-3 RETAIL PROTOTYPES TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COSTS JOBS HOUSING NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT Development Costs ($/SF building area) Free-Standing Restaurant Strip Retail Surface Parking 8,300 SF 380 seats 018:1 FAR Surface Parking 11,000 SF 025:1 FAR Land (Per sf land area) $40 $60 $40 $60 (Per sf Bldg area) $223 $335 $150 $240 Direct Costs Site Work $5 $5 $5 $5 Building Shell $70 $80 $55 $6S Tenant Improvement $60 $70 ~ $35 $135 $155 $85 $i05 Indirects & Financing @ 30% $40 $47 $25 $32 Permits & Fees $3 ~ ~ $7 $178 $208 $114 $144 Parking Cost (psf bldg. area) $17 $6 (Cost per space) $1,500 $1,500 (Number of spaces) ,,, 96 44 Total, including Land $418 - $560 $280 . $390 (1) As required by City code (1 space per seat (rest) and I space per 250 SF (retail)) Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associales, Inc Section VlRelan Prototypes; 10/15/2004; hgr Ilt" ~~l TABLE V-4 OTHER JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE PROGRAMS HOUSING IMPACT FEE NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT HIGH FEE CITIES Yr. Adopted Thresholds & Build Optionl Market Jurisdiction IUpdated Current Fee Levels per SF Exemptions Other Strength Comments City of Palo Alto 1984 · Commercia! & Industrial No Minimum Threshold. Yes Very Fee is adjusted annually Updated in $15.58 Churches; colleges and Substantial based on CPl. March 2002. universities; comm'l recreation; hospitals, convalescent facilities; private clubs, lodges, fraternal org. 's; private educational facilities; and public faci!ilies are exempt. City and County of 1981 · Office $14.96 25,000 gross SF threshold. Yes, may Very $40 million raised San Francisco Updated fees · Hote! $11.21 Excludes: redevelopment contribute land Substantial in 2002. · Retail $13.95 areas and Port. for housing. City of Menlo Park 1998 · Commercial & Industrial 10,000 gross SF Threshold. Yes, may Very Fee is adjusted annually $10.00. Churches, private clubs, provide housing Substantial ased on CPI. · Warehousing, printing, l~dgeS' fralernal orgs and on- or off-site. assembly $5.45. public facilities are exempt. MEDIUM FEE CITIES Yr. Adopted Thresholds & Build Optionl Market Jurisdiction ¡Updated Current Fee levels per SF Exemptions Other Strength Comments City of Santa Monica 1984 · Office only 15,000 sf exemption for new N/A Very Includes fee for open · $4.37 per square foot for first construction, 10,000 sf Substantial space as we!l. Fees 15,000 sf exemption for additions. djusted quarterly based · $9.72 per square foot in n CPI. No excess of 15,000 sf. omprehensive update ince adoption. City of Sunnyvale 1984 · Industrial & Office $8 Applies only to the portion of NA Very Fee had not changed Updated in the project that is in excess of Substantial ince the 1980's, until 2003. allowable FAR (typically ee was recently raised 0.35:1). rom $7.19. County of Marin 2003 · Office/R&D $7.19 No minimum threshold. Yes. Substantial · Retail/Rest. $5.40 · Warehouse $1.95 · Hotel/Motel $1 ,746/room · Manufacturing $3.74 ity of Mountain 2001 · Officef1ndustrial $6.00 Fee is 50% less if building is Yes Very iew · Hotel $2.00 under thresholds: Substantial · Retail $2.00 Office 10,000 sf Hotel 25,000 sf Retail 25,000 sf City of Walnut Creek 2005 · Office, retail, hotel and First 500 sf no fee applied. Yes Very medical $5.00 Substantial own of Corte 2001 · Office $4.79 No Minimum Threshold. NA Substantial Madera · R&D lab $3.20 · Light Industrial $2.79 · Warehouse $0.40 · Retail $8.38 '. · Com Services $1.20 · Restaurant $4.39 · Hate! $1.20 Prepared by Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. 11413.006\JH Fees Other Cities -Cupertino.doc; 1131/2006, Page 1 It.( .-{ .r TABLE V-4 (cont'd) OTHER JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE PROGRAMS HOUSING IMPACT FEE NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT City of Oakland 2002 · Officel Warehouse $4.00 25,000 sf exemption Yes - Can build Moderate Fee due in 3 units equal to nstaUments. Fee total eligible sf djusled with an annual times .0004 escalator tied to residential construction ost increases. City of Berkeley 1993 · All Commercial $4.00 7,500 SF threshold. Yes. Substantial. Fee has not changed · Industrial $2.00 ince 1993: may negotiate fee downward ased on hardship or reduced impact. City of 81. Helena 2004 · Office $3.40 Small childcare facilities, Yes, subject to Substantial. · Comm.lRetail $4.30 churches, non-profits, City Council · Hotel $3.14 vineyards, and public facilities approval. · Winery/Industrial $1.05 are exempt. Low FEE CITIES Yr. Adopted Thresholds & Build Option/ Market Jurisdiction IUpdated Current Fee Levels per SF Exemptions Other Strength Comments City of Alameda 1989 · Office $3.63 No Minimum Threshold. Yes. Program Moderate Fee may be adjusted by · Retail $1.84 specifies CPt. · Warehouse $0.63 number of units · Hotel/Motel $931 per room per 100,000 square feet. City of West 1986 · Non-residential $2.85 NA NA Substantial ees adjusted by CPI Hollywood ach year. City of P!easanton · Commercial. Office & No Minimum Threshold NA Moderate Fee increased in 2003. Industrial $2.31 City of Cupertino 1993 · Office & ~")' $225. .. No Threshold.:' NA . . Very Fee is adjusted annually .> .'. Substantial ased on CPL Update ..... '. . . .. .. ,..' . .. n process. City of Peta\uma 2003 · Commercial $2.08 * Fee is 50% less if located in NA Moderate' Fee phased-in over 3 · Industrial $2.15 * redevelopment project area Substantial ears beginning 2005. · Retail $3.59 * leees listed are full fees, (See Comments) tarting in 2007. County or Napa County - · Office $2.00 No Minimum Threshold. Units or land Moderate/ here is a companion (Also City of Napa) Updated 2004 · Hotel $3.00 dedication; on a Substantial ee of 1 % of construction City 1999 · Retail $2.00 Non-profits are exempt. case by case osts on all residential · Industrial $1.00 basis. ¡construction. Napa City · Warehouse $0.80 rates not updated to hese !evels yet. City of Sacramento 1989 · Office $1.79 No Minimum Threshold. Pay 20% fee Moderate Fees listed in effect as of Most recent · Hotel $1.70 plus build at lJuly 2005. update, 2005. · R&D $1.52 Service uses operated by non- reduced nexus. · Commercial $1.43 profits are exempt. (Not meaningful North Natomas area has · Manufacturing $1.12 given amount of eparate fee structure. · Warehouse/Office $0.65 fee). · Warehouse $0.49 City of San Diego 1990 · Office $1.06 No Minimum Threshold. Can dedicate Substantial Since 1990, $33 million Fees reduced · Hotel $0.64 land or air raise9' Update in in mid 90s; · R&D $0.80 No exempted uses. Does rights in lieu of rocess. Office have not been · Retail $0.64 exclude some geographic fee. reposed to go to $1.50 readjusted. · Manufacturing $0.64 areas. $1.80 range. · Warehouse $0.27 Prepared by Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. 11413.006\JH Fees Other Cities -Cupertino.doc; 1/31'2006, Page 2 /4-b7 TABLE V-4 (conl'd) OTHER JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE PROGRAMS HOUSING IMPACT FEE NEXUS ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO DRAFT City of Livermore 1999 · Retail $0.81 No Minimum Threshold. Yes; negotiated Moderate · Service Retail $0.61 on a case-by- · Office $0.52 Church; private or public case basis. · Hotel $397 per foom schools. · Manufacturing $0.25 · Warehouse $0.07 · Business Park $0.52 · Heavy Industrial $0.26 · Ught Industrial $0.16 City of Folsom 2002 · Office, Retail, Ught Industrial, No Minimum Threshold Yes. Moderate! Fee is adjusted annually Heavy Industrial, and Substantial based on construction Manufacturing $1.20 Select non profits, small child ost index. · Up to 200,000 SF, 100% of care centers, churches, mini fee. 200,000·250,000 SF, storage, parking garages, 75% of fee; 250,000- private schools, etc. 300,000 SF. 50% of fee: 300,000 and up, 25% of fee. County of 1989 · Office $0.97 No Minimum Threshold. Pay 20% fee Moderate Currently in the process Sacramento · Hotel $0.92 plus build al f updating. · R & D $0.82 Service uses operated by noo- reduced nexus. · Commercial $0.77 profits are exempt. (Not meaningful · Manufacturing $0.61 given amount of · Indoor Recreational Centers fee). $0.50 · Warehouse $0.26 City of Elk Grove 1988 · $30 flat fee plus: No Minimum Threshold Pay 20% fee Moderate ity may update fee (Inherited from · Office $0.97 plus build at fier County of County when · Hotel $0.92 Membership organizations reduced nexus. acramento updates its incorporated) · R & D $0.82 (churches, non-profits, etc.), (Not meaningful ee. · Commercial $0.77 mini-storage, car storage, given amount of · Manufacturing $0.61 marinas, car washes, private fee). · Indoor Recreational Centers parking garages and $0.50 agricultural uses exempt. · Warehouse $0.26 City of Rancho 1988 · $30 - $100 flat fee plus: No Minimum Threshold. No build option, Moderate Cordova (Inherited from · Office $0.97 but developer County when · Hotel $0.92 can dedicate incorporated) · R & D $0.82 land to city in- · Commercial $0.77 lieu of fee. · Manufacturing $0.61 · Indoor Recreational Centers $0.50 · Warehouse $0.26 City of Citrus 1988 · Office $0.97 No Minimum Threshold Moderate Heights (Inherited from · Hotel $0.92 County when · R & D $0.82 Agriculture, auto smog incorporated) · Commercial $0.77 inspections, car storage, · Manufacturing $0.61 private parking garage, mini- · Warehouse $0.26 storage, churches, non-profit membership organizations Prepared by Keyser Marston Associates, Inc. 11413.006\JH Fees Other Cities -Cupertino. doc: 1/31f2006, Page 3 I~~ ID (~-II [This page left intentionally blank_] fl..{-7L Keyser Marslon Associales, Inc Page 58 11413006\001-003; 1011512004, DRAFT Appendix A (L( ~73 I- "- < a:: o W N ¡¡; '!2 o(/) -'>- 0-' :1:< WZ (/)< =>W oW :1:"- >-W OJ(!) 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O"JI'-CÓv..--COtr:¡"N t.C1(!Jl'--comQ)or- f:A-f:f}fAf:f}Ifl(:fl........-- "'''' 00000000 QOOQlOLI)lOll) '¢_Q)_~cn {O "<f' N 0 CJ)l'-tD-oi"":-còlfiN" 1.O<Dt'-COO1Q)O..... f:f}Ef'tb'7I:f)(f}!{'7"--"'- '" '" 00000000 I.OLOlOl.()OLOOLD ......-q-I'-O C'ìLO co 0 r---Nr---crir---"":LfJ Ó C0-:r-.;tlOLOtDtOt--. W&'7Ehf:F>Wb'tWY7 - " '" '6 '" :2 00000000 LDOLODU")ODt.(') CO-:tQ)lOC))':;tCON ri~v-l1'iç,.j'ÑóQ)- r-C0010r-NC')t"1 f:A-Eflw..--..-..,............... E:P.\b9-(flb'}b'7 o :J I E o ~ ':'::. "<t o o N ¿. C :J o o '" ro u l)¡ c '" (j) 6 ~ Q) E o u c c ro 'is Q) ¿ ro Q) -< 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 "' "' "' "' 0", 0 "' ~ -<t. I'- 0 '" "'. ro o. w c ,.: ('oJ ,... <"Ï ,... ~ <Ii 0 ro '" -<t -<t "' "' co co I'- E 'õ '" '" (T) b'7 b9 f:A "'''' 0 '" u :2 .f ~ Õ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ;J'. '" -10 è"' w ~ > 0 0 " " " " " " " " 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ ø ~ ~ ~ ø ~ ~ w ¡; ¡; '" ¡; ¡; ¡; '" '" " 0- (L (L (L (L (L 0- (L iij ('oJ '" -<t "' co I'- ro "0 0 .c '" ø ~ 0 I It¡- 1Lf ~ '" .c ;,¡ o o N ;¡; ~ õ OJ '" ill :D ro 1--. " ill ~ ;; '" 0:: uro ¡::= - c :ß:2 - ~ ro ru Gee ~~ ~ ï~ c¿'; .9~ ~s roO; o;¡D ~o ~q >oM ru- "..,. >-- .c- D V ~ E ro ro ~c ~~ a.i.L APPENDIX TABLE 2 OCCUPATIONS INCI.UDED IN ANALYSIS JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT The occupational breakdown of employment by land use is based on the 200 1 Nationallndu5try~Specific Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates For these Industries/NAICS codes: Office 511200 - Software Publishers 516100· Internet PUblishing and Broadcasting 517100 ~ Wired Telecommunications Carriers 517200· Wireless Telecommunications Carriers (except Satellite) 517300· Telecommunications Rese!\ers 517900 - Other Telecommunications 518100 -Internet Service ProvIders and Web Search Portals 518200 - Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Ser\lices 519100· Other Information Services 522100 - Depository Credit Intermediation 522200· Nondeposilory Credit Intermediation 523900 - Other Financial Investment Activities 5241 00 ~ Insurance Carriers 524200 - Agencies, Brokerages, and Other Insurance Related Activities 531100 - Lessors of Real Eslale 531200 - Offices of Real Eslale Agents and Brokers 531300 - Activities related to Real Estate 541100 - Legal Services 541200 - Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping, and payrol1 Services 541300· Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services t>414UU ~ :specIalIzed ueslgn t:iervlces 541500 - Computer Systems Design and Re!ated Services 541600 - Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services 541700 - Scientific Research and Development Services 541800 - Advertising and Related Services 541900 - Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 551100 - Management of Companies and Enterprises 621100 - Offices of Physicians 621200 - Offices of Denlisls 621300 - Offices of Olher Heailh Praclilioners Hotel 7211004 Traveler Accommodation Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Prepared by: !<eyser Marston Associates. Inc Filename: Cup-Main Model-135_100; NAICS; 10/15/2004; dd Ill.. ~ ? J APPENDIX TABLE 2 OCCUPATIONS INCLUDED IN ANALYSIS . ~BS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS Y OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT Retail Including NAICS classificaUons: 441100 - Automobile Dealers 441200 - Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 441300 - Automotive Parts, Accessories, and Tire Stores 442100 - Furniture Stores 442200 - Home Furnishings Stores 443100 - Electronics and Appliance Stores 444100 - Building Material and Supplies Dealers 444200 - Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores 445100 - Grocery Stores 445200 - Specialty Food Stores 445300 - Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores 446100 - Health and Personal Care Stores 447100 - Gasoline Stations 448100 - Clothing Stores 448200 - Shoe Stores 448300. Jewelry. Luggage, and Leather Goods Stores 451100. Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 451200 - Book, Periodical, and Music Stores 452100 - Department Stores 452900· Other General Merchandise Stores 453100 . Florists 453200 - Office Supplies. Stationery, and Gift Stores 53300 - Used Merchandise Stores 453900. Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers 722100 - Fu!!-SeNice Restaurants 722200 - Limited-Service Eating Places 722300 - Special Food Services 722400 - Drinking Piaces (Alcoholic Beverages) 811100 - Automolive Repair and Maintenance 811200 - Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance 811400 - Persona! and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance 812100 - Personal Care Services 812200 - Death Care Services 812300 - Drycleaning and Laundry Services 812900 - Other Personal Services Source: Bureau of Labor Slalis!ics Prepared by: Keyser Marston Assoç\ales. !nc Filename; Cup~Maln Model-135_1 00; NAICS; 10{15{2004; dd / ~ ~ 70 APPENDIX TABLE 3 2002 NATIONAL HOTEL WORKER DISTRIBUTION BY OCCUPATION JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT 2002 National Hotel Industry Occupation Distribution Major Occupations (3% or more) 50% Management Occupations 81.980 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 475,690 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 493.760 Personal Care and Service Occupations 66,600 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 281.830 Installation. Maintenance. and Repair Occupations 65,080 All Other Hotel Related Occupations 172,290 INDUSTRY TOTAL 1,637,230 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates. Inc Filename: 11413006\Cup-Hote!: Major Occupations Matrix; 10/15/2004; dd 29 1% 30.2% 41% 172% 4.0% 10.5% 1000% Ie.¡ -7l >PENDIX TABLE 4 . .vERAGE ANNUAL COMPENSATION, 2003 HOTEL WORKER OCCUPATIONS JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA ORAFT Occupation J Management Occupations General and Operations Managers Sales Managers Financial Managers Food Service Managers Lodging Managers An Other Management Occupations Weighted Mean Annual Wage Food Preparation and SelVing Related Occupations First~Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation and Serving Workers Cooks, Restaurant Food Preparation Workers Bartenders Waiters and Waitresses Food Servers. Nonreslauranl D!ning Room and Cafeteria AlIendanls and Bartender. He!pers Dishwashers Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop All Other Food Preparalion and Serving Related Workers {avg aU categories} Weighted Mean Annual Wage Building and Grounds Cleaning and Main/enance Occupation.s Flrsl.Line Supervisors/Managers of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers Janitors and Cleaners, Except MaIds and Housekeeping Cleaners Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners All Other Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Workers Weighted Mean Annual Wage Personal Care and Service Occupations First-Une Supervisors/Managers or Personal Service Workers Amusement and Recreation,Altendants Baggage Poners and Bellhops Concierges Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors Recreation Workers Personal Care and Service Workers, All Other Weighted Mean Annual Wage Source: Bureau of Labor Slalistlcs Pn:!pared by: Keyser MÐrslon Associates. Jnc ~., . _ _. ....,.., ",,"',(',,'"'-.....,.,1,,1· (',.,mnRns",lion: 10/15/2004: dd 2003 AV9· Compensation 1 % of Total OccupatIon Group Z % of Tota! Hotel Workers $128200 $131.100 $112.800 $49.700 $44.600 $95 300 $83,600 188% 108% 5.4% 14,7% 315% 18.8% 100.0% 09% 05% 03% 07% 16% 0.9% 5.0% $30.700 42% 12% $23.200 11.5% 33% $20.800 4.1% 12°/a $18,700 8,2% 2-4% $17.500 293% 8.5% $21,100 85% 2.5% $16.700 9,4% 27% $16.900 83% 24% $20.000 46% 13% $20 000 11.9% 3.5% $19.500 100.0% 29.1% $35.300 65% 20% $23,300 99% 30% $18.800 787% 237% $25 300 4.9% 1.5% $20,600 100,0% 30.2% $52.600 50% 02% $21,200 126% 05% $20.200 36.1% 1,5% $27,600 106% 04% $46.300 44% 02% $30.400 48% 02% $28,200 26.5% ~ $26,500 100.0% 4.1% '. /I.(-?k Occupation J Office and Administrative Support OccupaUons Firsl-Une Supervísors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers Switchboard Operators. Including Answering Service Bookkeeping. Accounting. and Audi\íng Clerks Holel. Motel. and Resort Desk Clerks Reservalíon and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks All Other Office and Admin Support OccupaUons (avg at! categoríes) WeIghted Mean Annual Wage {ns{al/alion, Mainlenance, and Repair OccupaOons First-LIne Supervisors/Managers of MechanIcs, Installers, and Repairers Maíntenance and Repair Workers, General Installation, Maintenance. and Repair Workers. AI! Other Weighted Mean Annual Wage % of Tota! % of Total 2003 Avg. Occupation Hotel Compensation 1 Group 2 Workers $54.600 6.5% 1.1% $28,800 4.1% 0.7% $38,900 7.6% 13% $22.300 58.1% 100% $25.200 44% 0.8% $37,200 19,2% 3.3% $28,900 100,0"/" 17.2% $63.200 68% 03% $40,500 82.3% 33"/" $36.400 ~ 0.4% $41,600 100.0% 4.0% a95% 1 The methodology utilized by the California Employment Development Department (EDD) assumes that hourly paid employees are employed full-lime Annual compensation is calculated by EDO by mul1ìplying hourly.wages by 40 hours per work week by 52 weeks Z Occupation percentages are based on the 2002 National Industry - Specific OccupalloniJ! Employment survey compiled by the Bureau of Labor StalisUcs Wages h¡¡ve been updated to 3rd Quarter 2003 DES 2002 - San .Jose MSA (Santa Clara County) 3 IncludIng Dccupalions represen!ing 4% or more of Ihe majoroccupaUon group Source: Bureau of labor Statistics Prepared by: Keyser Marslon Associates. Ine ¡;;¡"""",,,,. 11.<111 nnfilf;lrn-Hotel: Compensation; 10f15/Z0Q4; do (l{-71 APPENDIX TABLE 5 ?~02 NATIONAL OFFICE WORKER DISTRIBUTION BY OCCUPATION BS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS GITY OF CUPERTINO. CA DRAFT 2002 National Office Industry Occupation Distribution Major Occupations (3% or more) Management Occupations 1,774.680 9.1% Business and Financial Operations Occupations 2,027,520 Computer and Mathematical Science Occupations 1,588.100 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 880,960 legal Occupaiions 618.360 Healthcare Practitioner and Technical Occupations 1,424,980 Healthcare Support Occupations 728.640 Sales and Related Occupations 1,239.130 Office and Administrative Support Occupalions 6,820,590 Installalion, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 585,930 All Other Office Related Occupations 1.773.790 INDUSTRY TOTAL 19,462,680 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Prepared by: Keyser Marston Associates, !nc Filename: 11413 006\cup-Office: Major Occupations Matrix; 10/15/2004: dd 104% 82% 45% 32% 7.3% 3.7% 6.4% 350% 3.0% 9.'1% 100.0% 14 -rD APPENDIX TABLE 6 AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPENSATION, 2003 OFFICE WORKER OCCUPATIONS JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT OccupatJan 1 Management Occupations ChierExocuh\les General and Operations Managers Marketing Managers S¡J1esManagers Adm!nlslr<llive Services Managers Compu!er and Inform811on Syslems MJnagers Financial Managers Engineering Managers Proper1y. Real Estate. and Community Assocla!1on Managers All Other M¡¡nagemen! Occupations Weighted Mean Annual W.lgC Business and Financial Operations Occupations Claims Adjusters. Examiners. and Invesllga!ors Management AnaJysls Accountanlsand Auditors Financial Analysis Insurance Underwriters LoanOfncers All Other Business and Financial Opera !Ions Occupations (a\lg aU categories) Welgh/ed Mean AnnuiJl Wage Computar and MelhomrJlical Science OccupaUon,s Computer Programmers Computer Sollware Engineers. Applications Computer Software Engineers. Systems SolJware Compu!er Suppor1 Specialisls Computer Systems Analysts Network and Computer Systems Administrators NetwDTk Systems and Data Commun!C.!Itlons Analysts All Other Computer and Malhematical OccupaHons (a\lg all categories) Welghwd MCùn Annual Wage Architecture and Engineering OccuprJtions Architects. Except Landscape and Nava! Surveyors Civil Eng!neers Eleclrical Engineers Electronics Engineers. Except Compuler Mechanical Engineers Architectural and Civil Oral1ers Ctvil Engineering Technicians Electrical and Electronic Engineering TechnIcians Surveying iJnd Mapping Teclmicians All Other Architec!ure and Engineering Occuporions (avg all categories) Walg/lled Maan Annual Wilgo Legal Dccupalions Lawyers Paralegals and Legal Assisl"n!s Tille Ex<!miners_ Abstractors. and Se¡¡rchers All OllleT Legal and Related Occupations Weighted Mean Annual Wilgc SOUf(;O: 8vrc¡¡uofLaborSlillIslic5 Pro/J<!T(]{ by: Koyser Mar.<;!on Assod¡¡h:~s, Inc <"t__"_~. "."'" 11f1~,,.,tl1.r;ln~,..· r."m~¡nl1s¡¡li{Jl1; 1011512004: dd 2003 Avg. CompQn!latlon I % of Total Occupation Group 1 %orTolal Ome( Workars S1ß1.200 77% 07% 5128.200 230% 21% 5130.100 47% 04% 5131.100 47% 0.4% $82.800 48% 0.4% 5130.800 78% 07% $112,800 138% 13% 5145,400 41% 04% $42,800 72% 07% 595300 22.1% 2.0% $115,700 1000% 9.1% 552.900 92% 10% S104.900 111% 12% 560_200 209% 22% 582.100 49% 05% 577.500 45% 05% 564.500 90% 09% 571500 4115% 4.2% $73,000 100.0% 10.4% 579.400 171% 14% 594.100 158% 13% 598.400 104% 08% 551.300 146% 12% 575.200 156% 13% $75.000 79% 06% 578.200 5_0% 0.4% 5B<1100 13.7% 1.1% $80,700 1000% 02% S93_000 86% 0.4% 560.900 48% 02% S77.000 123% 06% 590.300 57% 03% 584.900 43% 02% 58'1.200 55%. 02% 544.700 86% 0.4% 551.200 43% 02% 553.300 50% 02% S55.100 44"/" 02% 577 200 36.4% 1.6% S73,100 100.0% 45% 5154.400 610% 19% 557.200 258% 08% 554.400 68% 02% 553000 8.4% D.2-% $'16,000 1000% 32% I L{ ~r I Occupation J Hea!lhcDra Practitioner and Technical Occupations Dantisls Family and GE!neral Prac!llionE!rs RE!glslered Nurses Dental Hygienists licensed Practical and Licensed Voc¡]!ional Nur~es AI! o!hcr HetlUhcare Prac!ì(ìoners and Technical Occupations (avg all calegories) Wclghr~d Mean Annual Wage Heall/JcarB Support Occupations OenlaJAssislanls Medical Asslslanls Medical Transcrip/;onisls Veterinary Ass!stanls and Laboralory Animal Carelakers All Other Hea!lh Care Support OccupaHons (8'19 all categories) Welgh/ed Mean Annual Wagt! Sales and Rala/ad Occupations First-Lina Supervisors/Managers 01 Non·Retail Sales Walkers Rei.,!! Salespersons Insurance SalasAgenls Sacur!lles. Coml1lodilies and Financial Services Sales Agenls Sales Reprasenlallves. Wholesale and Mal1ufadurlng. Techl1leal al1d Sc;!entínc Products Sales Representatives. W!10lesala and Manulaeiurll1g Except Technical and Scientific Produc Real Estate Sales Agenl~ Telemarkeiels All Other Sales and Related Occupalions (avg aU calegories) Welgh/ed Mean Annual Wage Office and Adminislraliva Support Occupations Fir:¡I-Llne Superv¡:¡ors/Managcls of Qlfica and Administrative Support Workers Bookkeeping. Accounting. and Auditing Clerks Tellers Cuslomer Service Represenlatlves Recep!1onJsIs and Inrormation Clerks Executive Sacrclaries and Adminlslral1ve Asslslants Secrelaries. Except Legal. MedicaL and Execut!ve Omee Clerks. Genera! An Olher Of rice and Admin Support·Occupallons (avg all calegorlcs) Wefghled Mean Annual Wage Inslai/alion. Main{enance, and Repair Occupaliol1s Flrsl-Llne Supervisors/Managers of Mechanics. \nslallers. and Repairers Telecommunications Equ1pmenl Installers and Repairers. Except line Inslallers I Maln/ananee <Jnd Repair Workers. General Telecommunications Line InslaUers and Repairers All Dlher Inslall<llion. MalntenancEl. and Repair Occupallons (avg all calegories) Wefghtad Mean Annual Wag!] 200JAvg. Componsatlon 1 %ofTo!al Occupation Group ~ %ofTolal omco Workors 5167.500 60% 04% 592.900 52% 04% 570.100 17 5% 1 J% 591.700 101% 07% $45.200 69% 05% 568300 5<\.2% 4,0% $76,700 100.0% 7.3% 537.400 351% 1 J% 5J5.500 351% 1 J% $36.100 53% 02% 527.200 78% 03% $31200 16.7% 0.6% $34,800 1000% J7% 583.200 50% 03% 525.900 51% OJ% 570.200 217% 14% saO,100 43% 03% 590.200 46% OJ% 560.300 72% 05% 551.400 aO% 05% 540.900 72% 05% 543500 36.9% 2.4% $56,300 100.0% 6.4% S54.600 72% 25% $38:900 71% 25% S25.700 73% 25% $44.100 108% 38% 529.200 68% 24% $47.800 68% 24% 536.700 6_8% 2.4% 529.800 107% 37% 537200 J6.5% 12.8% $37,800 1000% 35.0% 563.200 76% 02% 543,200 195% 05% 540.500 404% 12% 546.200 108% 03% 54J 200 21,7% 0.7% $44,000 1000% J.O% 90,9% , Tim mclt!odology Ulili!cd by (he California Employmcf\\ Davc1opmOf\l D(!partm~ml (EDD} "ssllmcs Ihal hourly piJld employeos ¡no employad lull-limo Af\f\UDI compCnSDUOf\ Is c¡¡lclllated by EDD by mlllliplylno hourly IVilge$ by 40 hours pcr work WC1!k by 52 weo~s Oc;r;upallon percenlagos ale lJosed on Ih!! 2.002 NeUon¡¡llnduslry· Sþ1!dlic: Occupationol EmploynHml SUNßY compll~d by thß Bure;:¡u 01 Labor Slali~lIcs Wages h¡¡vo LJe~n upd¡¡!od (f) 3nJ QUMlJf 2003. OES 2002· S¡m ,Josa MSA (5an10 Clara County) 3 inctuding OC;cup¡¡ljon~ repres!.!f1Uf\g 4% or mora 01 tho m;:¡ or occup¡¡Hon group . Waoo dala not ¡¡v¡¡ililOlo: oslimatcd based Of\ thß av<!rilQo W3{ ß lor if\sl"lIallon, maintcmlnco ¡¡nd ¡upall occupallof\s SOultO: []ufoau 0/ Labor S!¡¡lisiic~ Propomd by: Koyser MIII~lon A5S0cJ~lc5. Inc . ~'" ._. '~~~_~n~·,H",,· 1nl: SI?nn4: dd /C{ -0 L APPENDIX TABLE 7 2002 NATIONAL RETAIL WORKER DISTRIBUTION BY OCCUPATION JOBS HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT 2002 National Retail Industry Occupation Distribution Major Occupations (3% or more) Management Occupanons 932,560 3.6% Food Preparalion and Serving Related Occupations 7,798,060 30.3% Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 225,470 09% Sales and Related Occupations 8,628.920 335% Office and Administrative Support Occupations 2.792,750 109% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 1.334,850 52% Production Occupations 762,540 30% Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 1,781.940 6.9% All Other Retail Related Occupations 1.481.360 5.8% INDUSTRY TOTAL 25,738.450 1000% Source: Bureau of labor Statistics Prepared by: Keyser Marslon Associales. Inc Filename; 1413 006\Cup-Relail; Major Occupalions Malrix; 10f15/20Q4; dd (\.{ ~t3 APPENDIX TABLE ß AVERAGE ANNUAL COMPENSATION. Z003 RETAIL WORKER OCCUPATIONS Joas HOUSING LINKAGE ANALYSIS CITY OF CUPERTINO, CA DRAFT '/,o(TotQI '!.ofTotal 200JAv!J. OCcup;¡Uon Rol;¡1I Componso!lon' Group' Workors 5181,200 52% 02% $128,200 491% 16% 5131.11J1J 72% 03% $-I9.71J0 21J9% 05% 59531J0 g~ Q..~ $.108,900 tOO_O"l. 36"1, 531J.701J 65% 20% 51$,900 73% 22% $23.2.00 79% 24% 520,800 67% 20% $16.700 42% 13% 517-700 230% 70'/. 51ij,900 42% 13% 517,51J0 228% 69% 516.!J00 49% 15% 520.000 g~ J.-~ Sj9,400 100,0% 30.J·,~ $45.000 123% 41% $21700 35,2% 11a% 525.900 41,a% 1010% ~500 107% lQf¡z $28,700 100.0"1. 335% 554JiOO 52.% 0_6% 536.900 94% 1,0% 5-14_100 64% 09% $30,900 65% 07% 526,200 365% 4_0% 529.000 9,8% 11% 532.2.00 24,2'/;' ~ $.31,500 100_0% 10,9% 563.200 70% }4'Yo $42.000 12,0% 0_6% 542.300 415% 2.2.% $20.000 53'10 03% 540,$00 n% 0.2% ill-.!QQ ~ 12Th SJ1.000 100.0% $,2.% $26,000 10A% 01% $39.700 '10% 03% 52.9.700 159% 11% 523.9001 41% OJ% 523.900 4 9~. 03% $19.800 130% aD% 523.1)00 177% 12% SnOOD 163% 11% ill·1M 11.I1D: Q.·IDh $2G,JOO 100.0'/. IÎ<J% 004'';' Occup~tton ) I.IMa!JGmonIO~çlJpalion5 ChlafExOClJUvOS Goncraland Opcr3Uon~ManD90rs SalosMÐnllgcrs FoodScrviçcManaQcls All O\l1of Managcmcrll Ocwpallons WcIUJ¡iodMaonAnnuoIW¡¡O'" Food Propar.JIÎDf! and Sarvlng Ralalad oçcup¡¡lions Flrst.Uno Supcf\iiscrs/Managcr5 cl Food Pr(!parolJon ¡¡nd Sef\ilng Workors Cooks. Fast Food Cooks,Rcst~\ir¡¡nl FoodPreparaUonWorkcrs Bartonders Combinod Food Prepôral10n and SOr\lln!J WorkerG. Induding FJSI Food Counlur AHondanls, C,:¡lelc¡io Food ConC01sslon and ColfeD Shop Woilcrs.mdWQilressos Oishwashers All Olhor FODd Pwp;¡wlion ond SONing Rcl¡¡I~\J OccuPQljol15 WelUhCod MOiln Annuol WU[l1I Salos ond Rolarod Oççupalions FIrSI.lInc supervisor:¡JMllna!JDrsof Ralail Sales workers CQshlors RQrailS¡¡laspctsons AIIOthol Salas and Rcl¡¡lcd OccupaUons (avg all c,"Jlcgorlcs) WclghlodMo;¡n Annuøl Wilgo Offiço ond Admlnir.lmUvo Suppon On:¡¡palions Firsl.Line SupcrvisorslM¡¡n¡¡gcrs of Olr.cu and AdmlnisJr¡¡lIve Support Workers BookkeepIng, Accounling_QndAudHlrlgClcrk:; Cus!omelServlcc RoprO:;Qnli11ivc5 Sh!ppln!J. Reœivin9 and Tr;¡lfic Clelks S!ockClc¡ksondOldcrFil!ors OfOcaClerks_Gcneml All Olnar OI(;CII ¡¡nu Adminlslr¡¡livQ Support Occup¡¡(ions WeIghted MOJI1 Annual WaGo Ins/a/lalion. Malnlanancc, and RQpair Ocç¡¡p;)I(QI¡~ First-Uno SUPQrvisor:llMol\ogersof Mechi1nlc.r.. Inslol1ofS. ondRcp¡¡irers Au\omoliVQ 8ody¡¡nd Rclaled Repilirel5 AUlomolivc Sorvico Tochnlcii1ns and MechDnics Tilll RepQlmf5 ondCharlgals MQinlananCo¡¡nuRcpoJtWOrkars.Goner;¡1 AU Olherlnsliltl¡¡l1on. MQinlcnonco and RQpalr OçcuplIUons Wolu/!/odMuilnAn/Ju;)/Wi1go TI;¡nsporl¡¡lion ;¡nd Malarial Moviflg Oçwpallons Dt!verlSoJosWolkols TJ1JckO¡ivcrs. HOiJvy¡¡ndTr¡¡çlor.Trililcr TJ1JckDrivers UllhlOIDcllvcrySQrviC01s Palklng Lot Auondanls ('IJ SorvlcoSt¡¡lIonAUond¡¡nls CIOQnel5 olVehlc!es and Equlpmcnl LaborolsQI'I\J Fralghl, Slock. ¡¡nd Malcriol Movcm. Hand Pockcr¡¡Q!1dPackogors, H¡¡nd All OlhQr Tr¡¡n:;port¡¡lion and Maler\¡¡( Moving OCl:Up¡¡lio!1S Weigh rod Moon Annuill Wag!? , TI,o methQ\JolOUY "Iinz(!d by Ihu Colllalnlo Ef"playf"ul'Il DovolopmonL Department ¡eDD) o~:;um(l~ ¡hol hourtypold omployooooro omp!oyou lull-llmQ AUI'IUQI compo".alion 10 eOIOJI,lt( (j by EDO by mulllplY;IIO lIourty w~Oo~ by 40 houro por wark wook b~ 52. w..ck~ , OCOJpnllon roreonl~oe' arO bo~e~ on IJ\O 2002 N~lIonoJ I"dvotry" Sroclric Occupatlonol Emr10ymunl OUNOy eompilod by Iho ßIJlOOV 01 Lobor S];¡li.lle~ WOQ!lO ¡IoWO boo" updolod 10 Jrd QUolnof 200J. O~S ~002 - San 1000 ~ISA (S"nIQ Clom Counj~! 3 ¡"cludlng Qccvpou,ms roplo~onling 4% or maio of 11\0 mojor ocevpollon Q'OUP . No wage Information avoilobta; woon$ cSlimllled from -SQNtee Slallon Qllendanls . Source; B'lw,w of lobar Sloti5l1c~ PWllorod b~: Koyoo, ',I"r.rou A!;,ocloiol, Inc _.. ."'"n"n......~ O..,."-C'"",M",.'U"" HIJ\S¡;J004:dd r~ -tv Appendix B Ill. ~t( APPENDIX B: SUPPLEMENTAL NEXUS MODEL DOCUMENTATION This appendix provides additional information on the methodology incorporated into the nexus model as presented and summarized in Section III of this report. Steps #4, #5 and #6 of the model address the income and household size combinations of worker households. Because data is not available that allows us to directly estimate how the workers in each occupation are distributed in terms of household income and the category definitions (such as 30% to 50% median), we developed a model to estimate the distribution based on U.S Census information. To briefiy recap the prior steps: . Step #1 is the estimate of number of employees based on a density factor Step #2 is an adjustment for changing employment composition. . Step #3 is an occupational distribution of the employees by building type. Step #4 - Estimate of Employees Meeting the Lower Income Definitions The percent of employees in each occupation category that fall at or below the respective income thresholds is estimated in Step #4. The data source is the California Employment Development Department average compensation survey by detailed occupational calegory. The 2002 survey was the most recent available at the time of analysis preparation. The composition of each occupational group (such as share of hotel service workers that are maids vs food preparation workers, etc.) was evaluated to estimate averages for the occupational category by land use/building type overall. The four income categories that are the focus of this analysis - under 50% of median, 50% to 80% of median, 80% to 120% of median, and 120% to 150% - were charted for each household size up to six person households, using the HUD income levels. Using the compensation data by occupation, the share of employees that fall at or below the income level was estimated. Step #5 - Estimate of Household Size Distribution Since the HUD criteria for income definition is dependent on a household meeting a combination of income and size requirements, the household size distribution ranging fr~m one person to six person households was input into the model. I Lt ~J1 19092008\001-003: 10/15/2004, ORAFT Keyser Marston Associates, !nc Appendix 8 - Page 1 For the Cupertino analysis, the household size characterislics of the county was utilized since workers in the City live allover the County area and are more similar to the larger area than the characteristics of those who live in the City. Step #6 - Estimate of Employee Households that Meet Income and Size Criteria This step calculates the number of employee households that meet HUD criteria for each income category, separately analyzed for lhe employees associated with each building type, Using a matrix format, a probability factor was calculated for each of the income subgroups (based on the U.S. Census), and then totaled, This number represents the probability that a household in a given occupation category will meet both income and household size criteria established by HUD. (L\ -t1 Keyser Marston Associates, !nc Page 2 11413006\001-003; 10/15/2004, DP,AFT